DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068064
论文题名: Fast and slow precipitation responses to individual climate forcers: A PDRMIP multimodel study
作者: Samset B.H. ; Myhre G. ; Forster P.M. ; Hodnebrog Ø. ; Andrews T. ; Faluvegi G. ; Fläschner D. ; Kasoar M. ; Kharin V. ; Kirkevåg A. ; Lamarque J.-F. ; Olivié D. ; Richardson T. ; Shindell D. ; Shine K.P. ; Takemura T. ; Voulgarakis A.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9205
EISSN: 1944-8936
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 6 起始页码: 2782
结束页码: 2791
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate drivers
; PDRMIP
; precipitation
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric radiation
; Atmospheric temperature
; Carbon dioxide
; Climate change
; Precipitation (chemical)
; Solar radiation
; Anthropogenic climate changes
; Atmospheric absorption
; Global climate model
; Intermodel variability
; PDRMIP
; Precipitation change
; Radiative forcings
; Surface temperature changes
; Climate models
; adsorption
; black carbon
; carbon dioxide
; climate change
; climate forcing
; climate modeling
; global climate
; methane
; precipitation (climatology)
; radiative forcing
; sulfate
; surface temperature
英文摘要: Precipitation is expected to respond differently to various drivers of anthropogenic climate change. We present the first results from the Precipitation Driver and Response Model Intercomparison Project (PDRMIP), where nine global climate models have perturbed CO2, CH4, black carbon, sulfate, and solar insolation. We divide the resulting changes to global mean and regional precipitation into fast responses that scale with changes in atmospheric absorption and slow responses scaling with surface temperature change. While the overall features are broadly similar between models, we find significant regional intermodel variability, especially over land. Black carbon stands out as a component that may cause significant model diversity in predicted precipitation change. Processes linked to atmospheric absorption are less consistently modeled than those linked to top-of-atmosphere radiative forcing. We identify a number of land regions where the model ensemble consistently predicts that fast precipitation responses to climate perturbations dominate over the slow, temperature-driven responses. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84971595207&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL068064&partnerID=40&md5=271b6ec3703edffda3a4b8f8884d8bdc
Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10168
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Center for International Climate and Environmental Research, Oslo, Norway
Recommended Citation:
Samset B.H.,Myhre G.,Forster P.M.,et al. Fast and slow precipitation responses to individual climate forcers: A PDRMIP multimodel study[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(6).