DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068824
论文题名: Reforestation in a high-CO2 world—Higher mitigation potential than expected, lower adaptation potential than hoped for
作者: Sonntag S. ; Pongratz J. ; Reick C.H. ; Schmidt H.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9676
EISSN: 1944-9407
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 12 起始页码: 6546
结束页码: 6553
语种: 英语
英文关键词: afforestation
; carbon sequestration
; climate engineering
; land use
; RCPs
; reforestation
Scopus关键词: Carbon
; Forestry
; Fossil fuels
; Land use
; Reforestation
; afforestation
; Carbon sequestration
; Earth system model
; Global annual mean temperature
; Max Planck Institute
; RCPs
; Sparsely populated areas
; Temperature extremes
; Carbon dioxide
英文摘要: We assess the potential and possible consequences for the global climate of a strong reforestation scenario for this century. We perform model experiments using the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM), forced by fossil-fuel CO2 emissions according to the high-emission scenario Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, but using land use transitions according to RCP4.5, which assumes strong reforestation. Thereby, we isolate the land use change effects of the RCPs from those of other anthropogenic forcings. We find that by 2100 atmospheric CO2 is reduced by 85 ppm in the reforestation model experiment compared to the reference RCP8.5 model experiment. This reduction is higher than previous estimates and is due to increased forest cover in combination with climate and CO2 feedbacks. We find that reforestation leads to global annual mean temperatures being lower by 0.27 K in 2100. We find large annual mean warming reductions in sparsely populated areas, whereas reductions in temperature extremes are also large in densely populated areas. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84983300205&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL068824&partnerID=40&md5=f9cf581667ff890a5ec78545f005cc7b
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10639
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
Recommended Citation:
Sonntag S.,Pongratz J.,Reick C.H.,et al. Reforestation in a high-CO2 world—Higher mitigation potential than expected, lower adaptation potential than hoped for[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(12).