DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.09.017
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85054020630
论文题名: Consensus in climate classifications for present climate and global warming scenarios
作者: Tapiador F.J. ; Moreno R. ; Navarro A.
刊名: Atmospheric Research
ISSN: 1698095
出版年: 2019
卷: 216 起始页码: 26
结束页码: 36
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate classification
; Global Climate Models
; K-means clustering
; Köppen classification
; Köppen-Trewartha classification
Scopus关键词: Gas emissions
; Global warming
; Greenhouse gases
; Uncertainty analysis
; Classification methods
; Environmental change
; Future climate
; Gauge model
; Global change
; Global climate model
; K - means clustering
; Systematic analysis
; Climate models
英文摘要: Climate classifications of climate models’ outputs have been used to assess environmental changes but systematic analyses of the differences between models, scenarios and classification methods are scarce. Here, the results of applying the most commonly used climate classifications to the outputs of 47 Global Climate Models (GCM) of different physical parameterizations and varied grid size are presented. The extent and intensity of changes for present climate, three different Representative Pathways Scenarios (RCP26, RCP45 and RCP85) and three increasingly-fine classification methods show that there is a consensus between models, and that climate classifications are indeed useful tools to translate physical climatology variables into environmental changes. The main conclusions are that climate classifications can indeed be used to gauge model performance at several grid sizes and that the classification method does not decisively affects the potential global changes in future climates under increasing greenhouse gas emissions. The analyses also reveal that there are several uncertainties that are not attributable to model grid size or to limitations in the reference datasets but more likely to deficiencies in the physics of the models. © 2018 Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/109045
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: University of Castilla-La Mancha (UCLM), Institute of Environmental Sciences (ICAM), Faculty of Environmental Sciences and Biochemistry, Earth and Space Sciences Group, Avda. Carlos III s/n, Toledo, 45071, Spain
Recommended Citation:
Tapiador F.J.,Moreno R.,Navarro A.. Consensus in climate classifications for present climate and global warming scenarios[J]. Atmospheric Research,2019-01-01,216