globalchange  > 全球变化的国际研究计划
DOI: 10.1002/joc.5850
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85053448677
论文题名:
Future intensity–depth–frequency curves estimation in Korea under representative concentration pathway scenarios of Fifth assessment report using scale-invariance method
作者: Choi J.; Lee O.; Jang J.; Jang S.; Kim S.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期:2
起始页码: 887
结束页码: 900
语种: 英语
英文关键词: AR5 RCP ; climate change ; IDF ; scale-invariance
Scopus关键词: Climate models ; Frequency estimation ; Rain ; Time series analysis ; Annual maximum rainfalls ; AR5 RCP ; Coefficient of variance ; Global climate model ; Meteorological station ; National standard ; Regional climate models ; Scale invariance ; Climate change ; accuracy assessment ; climate change ; climate modeling ; error correction ; estimation method ; future prospect ; rainfall ; regional climate ; trend analysis ; weather forecasting ; Korea
英文摘要: Many Global Climate Models (GCMs) or Regional Climate Models (RCMs) are being developed around the world and are being used in future climate change adaptation planning. However, in Korea, future rainfall data as a national standard scenario are provided on a daily basis, so it is difficult to apply directly to the design of hydraulic structures considering the impact of climate change. In this study, a method for estimating future intensity–depth–frequency (IDF) curves in Korea is proposed using a simple scale-invariance assumption associated with trend analysis of future extreme rainfall data. First, the scale characteristics of hourly rainfall data observed at 60 meteorological stations operated by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) are examined, and scale parameters of IDF curves are estimated from observed scale-invariance characteristics. Second, the future daily annual maximum rainfall data provided by KMA-RCM is bias-corrected. Various methods are used for the correction of biases of rainfall depths. The third is trend analysis, which is used to determine the mean and the coefficient of variance of future daily annual maximum rainfall time series in future years. Finally, future IDF curves are estimated by combining scale-invariance method and trend analysis. © 2018 The Authors. International Journal of Climatology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of the Royal Meteorological Society.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116578
Appears in Collections:全球变化的国际研究计划

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作者单位: Division of Earth Environmental System Science (Major of Environmental Engineering), Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea; Water Quality Assessment Research Division, National Institute of Environmental Research, Incheon, South Korea; Water Resources Research Center, K-water Institute, Daejeon, South Korea; Department of Environmental Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan, South Korea

Recommended Citation:
Choi J.,Lee O.,Jang J.,et al. Future intensity–depth–frequency curves estimation in Korea under representative concentration pathway scenarios of Fifth assessment report using scale-invariance method[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2019-01-01,39(2)
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