globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.3390/f10040355
WOS记录号: WOS:000467303600063
论文题名:
Projecting the Potential Global Distribution of Carpomya vesuviana (Diptera: Tephritidae), Considering Climate Change and Irrigation Patterns
作者: Guo, Siwei1; Ge, Xuezhen2; Zou, Ya1; Zhou, Yuting1; Wang, Tao3; Zong, Shixiang1
通讯作者: Zong, Shixiang
刊名: FORESTS
ISSN: 1999-4907
出版年: 2019
卷: 10, 期:4
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Carpomya vesuviana ; CLIMEX ; climate change ; irrigation ; potential distribution
WOS关键词: BER FRUIT-FLY ; INSECT
WOS学科分类: Forestry
WOS研究方向: Forestry
英文摘要:

The ber fruit fly Carpomya vesuviana Costa (Diptera: Tephritidae) is the most destructive pests of Ziziphus spp. Carpomya vesuviana infestation causes great economic losses. We re-parameterized an existing CLIMEX model, and used the updated CliMond 30 gridded resolution datasets within CLIMEX for the periods 1987-2016 and 2071-2100, representing historical and future climates, respectively, to predict the potential global distribution of the pest. Under the historical climate scenario, C. vesuviana had a wide climatically suitable distribution worldwide, from approximately 46 degrees S to 50 degrees N. Future climate change expanded the upper boundary of the potential distribution northward, and predicted that the pest would distribute approximately from 50 degrees S to 60 degrees N. Temperature was the primary determinant of the potential distribution of the pest among all driving variables. Irrigation was associated with a slight improvement in the climate favorability for the pest in some areas, including south-western North America, northern and southern Africa, and most of Oceania. The projections clarify the impacts of climate change on the potential global distribution of C. vesuviana, and are instructive for quarantine and management agencies for reducing economic damage caused by the fly and preventing expansion of C. vesuviana due to climate change.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/133925
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Beijing Forestry Univ, Key Lab Beijing Control Forest Pests, Beijing 100083, Peoples R China
2.Univ Guelph, Dept Integrat Biol, Guelph, ON N1G 2W1, Canada
3.Mentougou Forestry Stn, Beijing 102300, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Guo, Siwei,Ge, Xuezhen,Zou, Ya,et al. Projecting the Potential Global Distribution of Carpomya vesuviana (Diptera: Tephritidae), Considering Climate Change and Irrigation Patterns[J]. FORESTS,2019-01-01,10(4)
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