DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2020.00004
论文题名: What Are the Domestic and Regional Impacts From Ethiopia's Policy on the Export Ban of Teff?
作者: Sankaranarayanan S. ; Zhang Y. ; Carney J. ; Nigussie Y. ; Esayas B. ; Simane B. ; Zaitchik B. ; Siddiqui S.
刊名: Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems
ISSN: 2571581X
出版年: 2020
卷: 4 语种: 英语
英文关键词: ethiopia
; food exports
; food policy
; food supply chain
; policy analyses
英文摘要: In response to global food price volatility and trends toward increased global food demand, Ethiopian policy makers were forced to adopt strategies such as restricting food exports in order to protect domestic food security. However, these policies can have a disproportionate regional impact on domestic markets and can result in lost revenue from exports. For this reason, they have been criticized as inefficient from the perspective of economic development. Here, we examine the sub-national dynamics of a ban on food exports. We do this for the case of Ethiopia's ban on exports of teff, a staple grain in the country that has increasing global demand. We assess the impact of the ban and of proposed policies to relax the ban, across regions within the country and for various market actors along the teff value chain. Using a partial-equilibrium model developed with a detailed modeling of the agro-economic features of the country, we analyze the direct impacts on export revenue, producers' profits, transport patterns, and consumption across the disaggregated regions in Ethiopia due to changes to its teff export policy. In particular, we show that the immediate benefit due to significant increase in international revenue due to large teff export would be enjoyed primarily by food distributors and storage operators while the crop producers' profits increase only negligibly. Simulations also indicate that lifting the export ban would be expected to have significant impacts on domestic transportation of teff between regions (for example from Mekelle to Werder), and to reduce consumption of teff significantly in some regions (for example, Semera, Jijiga), an effect due to the lack of competition in the transportation sector. The granularity of the model helps us capture the possibility of such lopsided benefits which were not captured in earlier studies. © Copyright © 2020 Sankaranarayanan, Zhang, Carney, Nigussie, Esayas, Simane, Zaitchik and Siddiqui. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/160035
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: Department of Mathematics and Industrial Engineering, Polytechnique Montreal, Montreal, QC, Canada; Department of Civil and Systems Engineering, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States; Energy Research Group, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States; College of Business, Strayer University, Alexandria, VA, United States; College of Development Studies Addis, Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, United States
Recommended Citation:
Sankaranarayanan S.,Zhang Y.,Carney J.,et al. What Are the Domestic and Regional Impacts From Ethiopia's Policy on the Export Ban of Teff?[J]. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems,2020-01-01,4