globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.7249/RR991
报告号: RR-991-imfo
报告题名:
The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030
作者: Liisa Ecola; Johanna Zmud; Kun Gu; Peter Phleps; Irene Feige
出版者: RAND Corporation
出版年: 2015
发表日期: 2015
总页数: 118
国家: 美国
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Economic Development ; China ; Environmental Quality ; Surface Traffic Models ; Exploratory Modeling ; Transportation Planning ; Students
中文主题词: 交通设施
主题词: TRANSPORTATION
英文摘要: What might the future of mobility be in China in 2030? Mobility is defined as the ability to travel from one location to another, regardless of mode or purpose. RAND researchers, working with the Institute for Mobility Research, used a six-step process to develop two scenarios that address this question. The six steps are (1) select influencing areas (domains that affect mobility directly: demographics, economics, energy, and transportation supply and constraints); (2) elicit projections on descriptors (via expert workshops in Washington, D.C., and Beijing); (3) integrate these into scenario frameworks (using two analysis methods and a computer-based tool); (4) produce scenario narratives (based on the clusters produced by the tool); (5) draw qualitative consequences for future mobility; and (6) create a wild-card scenario (by looking at events that might disrupt trends).
URL: http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR900/RR991/RAND_RR991.pdf
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资源类型: 研究报告
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/27588
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
气候变化与战略

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Recommended Citation:
Liisa Ecola,Johanna Zmud,Kun Gu,et al. The Future of Mobility: Scenarios for China in 2030. 2015-01-01.
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