| DOI: | 10.2172/1312845
|
| 报告号: | DOE-NAS--14256-1
|
| 报告题名: | Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Attribution |
| 作者: | Thomas, Katherine
|
| 出版年: | 2016
|
| 发表日期: | 2016-03-31
|
| 总页数: | 5
|
| 国家: | 美国
|
| 语种: | 英语
|
| 英文关键词: | weather
; climate
; attribution
|
| 中文主题词: | 极端天气
; 高温
|
| 主题词: | EXTREME WEATHER
; HEAT
|
| 英文摘要: | A report from the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine concludes it is now possible to estimate the influence of climate change on some types of extreme events. The science of extreme event attribution has advanced rapidly in recent years, giving new insight to the ways that human-caused climate change can influence the magnitude or frequency of some extreme weather events. This report examines the current state of science of extreme weather attribution, and identifies ways to move the science forward to improve attribution capabilities. Confidence is strongest in attributing types of extreme events that are influenced by climate change through a well-understood physical mechanism, such as, the more frequent heat waves that are closely connected to human-caused global temperature increases, the report finds. Confidence is lower for other types of events, such as hurricanes, whose relationship to climate change is more complex and less understood at present. For any extreme event, the results of attribution studies hinge on how questions about the event's causes are posed, and on the data, modeling approaches, and statistical tools chosen for the analysis. |
| URL: | http://www.osti.gov/scitech/servlets/purl/1312845
|
| Citation statistics: |
|
| 资源类型: | 研究报告
|
| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/42187
|
| Appears in Collections: | 过去全球变化的重建
影响、适应和脆弱性
科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
全球变化的国际研究计划
气候减缓与适应
气候变化事实与影响
|
| File Name/ File Size |
Content Type |
Version |
Access |
License |
|
|---|
| 1312845.docx（118KB） | 研究报告 | -- | 开放获取 | | View
Download
|
|
| Recommended Citation: | |
Thomas, Katherine. Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Attribution. 2016-01-01.
|
|
|