globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84896096760
论文题名:
North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of twenty-first-century projections
作者: Maloney E.D.; Camargo S.J.; Chang E.; Colle B.; Fu R.; Geil K.L.; Hu Q.; Jiang X.; Johnson N.; Karnauskas K.B.; Kinter J.; Kirtman B.; Kumar S.; Langenbrunner B.; Lombardo K.; Long L.N.; Mariotti A.; Meyerson J.E.; Mo K.C.; Neelin J.D.; Pan Z.; Seager R.; Serra Y.; Seth A.; Sheffield J.; Stroeve J.; Thibeault J.; Xie S.-P.; Wang C.; Wyman B.; Zhao M.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2014
卷: 27, 期:6
起始页码: 2230
结束页码: 2270
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Experiments ; Hurricanes ; Sea ice ; Climate prediction ; Decadal variability ; Eastern north pacific ; Hydrologic cycles ; North America ; Precipitation change ; Snow water equivalent ; Tropical cyclone activity ; Climate models ; air temperature ; climate change ; climate modeling ; climate prediction ; extreme event ; hydrological cycle ; regional climate ; storm track ; tropical cyclone ; twenty first century ; Atlantic Ocean ; Atlantic Ocean (North) ; Pacific Ocean ; Pacific Ocean (North) ; United States
英文摘要: In part III of a three-part study onNorthAmerican climate in phase 5 of theCoupledModel Intercomparison Project (CMIP5)models, the authors examine projections of twenty-first-century climate in the representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) emission experiments. This paper summarizes and synthesizes results from several coordinated studies by the authors. Aspects of North American climate change that are examined include changes in continental-scale temperature and the hydrologic cycle, extremes events, and storm tracks, as well as regionalmanifestations of these climate variables. The authors also examine changes in the eastern North Pacific and NorthAtlantic tropical cyclone activity and NorthAmerican intraseasonal to decadal variability, including changes in teleconnections to other regions of the globe. Projected changes are generally consistentwith those previously published forCMIP3, althoughCMIP5model projections differ importantly from those of CMIP3 in some aspects, including CMIP5 model agreement on increased central California precipitation. The paper also highlights uncertainties and limitations based on current results as priorities for further research. Althoughmany projected changes inNorth American climate are consistent across CMIP5 models, substantial intermodel disagreement exists in other aspects. Areas of disagreement include projections of changes in snow water equivalent on a regional basis, summerArctic sea ice extent, themagnitude and sign of regional precipitation changes, extreme heat events across the northern United States, and Atlantic and east Pacific tropical cyclone activity. © 2014 American Meteorological Society.
资助项目: NSF, National Science Foundation
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/51018
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States; School of Marine and Atmospheric Sciences, Stony Brook University, State University of New York, Stony Brook, NY, United States; Department of Geological Sciences, The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States; Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States; Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States; International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawai'i at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States; Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States; Atmospheric, Oceanic and Earth Sciences Department, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States; Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Fairfax, VA, United States; Division of Meteorology and Physical Oceanography, University of Miami, Miami, FL, United States; Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States; Department of Marine Sciences, University of Connecticut, Avery Point, CT, United States; Wyle Science, Technology and Engineering, College Park, MD, United States; Climate Prediction Center, NOAA/NWS/NCEP, College Park, MD, United States; NOAA/Climate Program Office, Silver Spring, MD, United States; Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, St. Louis University, St. Louis, MO, United States; Department of Geography, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States; National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States; Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, Miami, FL, United States; Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States

Recommended Citation:
Maloney E.D.,Camargo S.J.,Chang E.,et al. North American climate in CMIP5 experiments: Part III: Assessment of twenty-first-century projections[J]. Journal of Climate,2014-01-01,27(6)
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