DOI: 10.1016/j.foreco.2015.12.035
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84956605470
论文题名: Modelling wind risk to Eucalyptus globulus (Labill.) stands
作者: Locatelli T. ; Gardiner B. ; Tarantola S. ; Nicoll B. ; Bonnefond J.-M. ; Garrigou D. ; Kamimura K. ; Patenaude G.
刊名: Forest Ecology and Management
ISSN: 0378-1127
出版年: 2016
卷: 365 起始页码: 159
结束页码: 173
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Eucalyptus globulus
; ForestGALES
; Global sensitivity analysis
; Model evaluation
; Model parameterisation
; Wind-risk
Scopus关键词: Risk assessment
; Sensitivity analysis
; Uncertainty analysis
; Eucalyptus globulus
; ForestGALES
; Global sensitivity analysis
; Model evaluation
; Wind risks
; Forestry
; Eucalyptus
; Eucalyptus globulus
英文摘要: Wind damage to commercial plantations and natural forests is a serious concern for forest owners and managers all over the world, with notable losses having been reported in the last few decades in Europe, the Americas, and Oceania. Wind-risk models such as ForestGALES allow for a good understanding of the dynamics involved in wind damage, and for calculations of risk to be made, therefore providing vital information on the best practices to minimise such risk. In this paper we parameterise ForestGALES for Eucalyptus globulus (Labill.), arguably one the most widespread and commercially important species for pulp and biomass production, with tree-pulling data obtained in Asturias, Spain. Despite the scarce data on tree and stand characteristics available for wind damaged stands of Eucalyptus spp., we provide an evaluation of our model's performance under different stocking densities by comparing our simulations with real wind damage data acquired from the literature. We show that ForestGALES is able to accurately model the critical wind speeds responsible for Eucalypts stand damage, hence extending the model's applicability to this important commercial genus. In line with good modelling practice, we present the results of a sensitivity analysis of the model, performed with a Global variance-based method. Our sensitivity analysis confirmed the main role of Dbh, stocking density, and tree height in driving the model outputs, and highlighted the importance of accurately knowing the size of any upwind gaps adjacent to a stand to reduce uncertainty in model predictions. © 2016 Elsevier B.V. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/65023
Appears in Collections: 影响、适应和脆弱性
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作者单位: The University of Edinburgh, School of GeoSciences, United Kingdom; Forest Research, Northern Research Station, United Kingdom; INRA Bordeaux, Unité Ephyse, France; Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Italy; Shinshu University, Japan
Recommended Citation:
Locatelli T.,Gardiner B.,Tarantola S.,et al. Modelling wind risk to Eucalyptus globulus (Labill.) stands[J]. Forest Ecology and Management,2016-01-01,365