DOI: 10.1007/s10584-015-1337-y
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-84925497787
论文题名: Challenges and adaptations of farming to climate change in the North China Plain
作者: Zhang H.-L. ; Zhao X. ; Yin X.-G. ; Liu S.-L. ; Xue J.-F. ; Wang M. ; Pu C. ; Lal R. ; Chen F.
刊名: Climatic Change
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2015
卷: 129, 期: 2018-01-02 起始页码: 213
结束页码: 224
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: Agriculture
; Conservation
; Crops
; Cultivation
; Economic and social effects
; Food supply
; Natural resources
; Natural resources management
; Planning
; Plants (botany)
; Seed
; Water conservation
; Water resources
; Water supply
; Accumulated temperatures
; Innovative technology
; Mean annual precipitation
; Mean annual temperatures
; Resource conservation
; Sustainable agricultural development
; Water-saving irrigation
; Winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.)
; Climate change
英文摘要: Climate change has been a concern of policy makers, scientists, and farmers due to its complex nature and far-reaching impacts. It is the right time to analyze the impacts of climate change and potential adaptations, and identify future strategies for sustainable development. This study assessed changes in climatic factors (e.g., temperature and precipitation) at three typical sites (i.e., Luancheng, Feixiang, and Huanghua) in the North China Plain (NCP), and analyzed adaptations of farming practices. Results indicated that the mean annual temperature followed a significant increasing trend during 1981–2011, with 0.57, 0.47, and 0.44 °C decade−1 for Luancheng, Huanghua, and Feixiang, respectively. A significant increase of 0.67, 0.53, and 0.38 °C decade−1 was observed for the winter-wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) season for Luancheng, Huanghua, and Feixiang, respectively (P < 0.05), but no significant change for the summer-corn (Zea mays L.) season for the three sites. The annual accumulated temperature (≥10 °C) increased significantly during 1981–2011 (P < 0.01), with 17.60, 10.49, and 14.09 °C yr−1 for Luancheng, Huanghua, and Feixiang, respectively. There was no significant increase of mean annual precipitation, which had large inter-annual fluctuations among the three sites. In addition, significant challenges lie ahead for the NCP due to climate change, e.g., increasing food grain demand, water shortages, high inputs, high carbon (C) emissions, and decreasing profits. Trade-offs between crop production, water resource conservation, and intensive agricultural inputs will inhibit sustainable agricultural development in the NCP. Farming practices have been adapted to the climate change in the NCP, e.g. late seeding for the winter-wheat, tillage conversion, and water saving irrigation. Therefore, innovative technologies, such as climate-smart agriculture, will play important roles in balancing food security and resources use, enhancing water use efficiency, reducing C emissions in the NCP. Coordinated efforts from the government, scientists, and farmers are also necessary, in response to climate change. © 2015, Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/84678
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应 气候变化事实与影响
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作者单位: College of Agronomy and Biotechnology, China Agricultural University, Beijing, China; Key Laboratory of Farming System, Ministry of Agriculture of China, Beijing, China; Carbon Management and Sequestration Center, School of Environment and Natural Resources, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, United States
Recommended Citation:
Zhang H.-L.,Zhao X.,Yin X.-G.,et al. Challenges and adaptations of farming to climate change in the North China Plain[J]. Climatic Change,2015-01-01,129(2018-01-02)