DOI: 10.1002/2016GL071190
论文题名: Unraveling El Niño's impact on the East Asian Monsoon and Yangtze River summer flooding
作者: Zhang W. ; Jin F.-F. ; Stuecker M.F. ; Wittenberg A.T. ; Timmermann A. ; Ren H.-L. ; Kug J.-S. ; Cai W. ; Cane M.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-8427
EISSN: 1944-8158
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 21 起始页码: 11375
结束页码: 11382
语种: 英语
英文关键词: ENSO
; monsoon
; tropical climate
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure
; Atmospheric temperature
; Atmospheric thermodynamics
; Earth (planet)
; Floods
; Nickel
; Oceanography
; Surface waters
; ENSO
; monsoon
; Precipitation anomalies
; Sea surface temperature anomalies
; Seasonal climate predictability
; Southern oscillation
; Tropical climates
; Yangtze River basin
; Climatology
英文摘要: Strong El Niño events are followed by massive summer monsoon flooding over the Yangtze River basin (YRB), home to about a third of the population in China. Although the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) provides the main source of seasonal climate predictability for many parts of the Earth, the mechanisms of its connection to the East Asian monsoon remain largely elusive. For instance, the traditional Niño3.4 ENSO index only captures precipitation anomalies over East Asia in boreal winter but not during the summer. Here we show that there exists a robust year-round and predictable relationship between ENSO and the Asian monsoon. This connection is revealed by combining equatorial (Niño3.4) and off-equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (Niño-A index) into a new metric that captures ENSO's various aspects, such as its interaction with the annual cycle and its different flavors. This extended view of ENSO complexity improves predictability of YRB summer flooding events. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84998610760&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL071190&partnerID=40&md5=cc9a63b9fbecb772d64b8877c0aebcb2
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/9390
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, ILCEC/CIC-FEMD, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
Recommended Citation:
Zhang W.,Jin F.-F.,Stuecker M.F.,et al. Unraveling El Niño's impact on the East Asian Monsoon and Yangtze River summer flooding[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(21).