| DOI: | 10.1002/2016GL068041
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| 论文题名: | Nonlinearities in patterns of long-term ocean warming |
| 作者: | Rugenstein M.A.A.; Sedláček J.; Knutti R.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-9151
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| EISSN: | 1944-8882
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 43, 期:7 | | 起始页码: | 3380
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| 结束页码: | 3388
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | CMIP5
; equation of state
; equilibrium
; ocean heat uptake
; thermal expansion
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| Scopus关键词: | Atmospheric temperature
; Equations of state
; Heat storage
; Oceanography
; Phase equilibria
; Sea level
; Surface properties
; Thermal expansion
; Time measurement
; CMIP5
; Equation of state
; Intermediate complexity
; Ocean heat uptake
; Surface conditions
; Surface temperature changes
; Surface temperatures
; Surface warming
; Climate models
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| 英文摘要: | The ocean dominates the planetary heat budget and takes thousands of years to equilibrate to perturbed surface conditions, yet those long time scales are poorly understood. Here we analyze the ocean response over a range of forcing levels and time scales in a climate model of intermediate complexity and in the CMIP5 model suite. We show that on century to millennia time scales the response time scales, regions of anomalous ocean heat storage, and global thermal expansion depend nonlinearly on the forcing level and surface warming. As a consequence, it is problematic to deduce long-term from short-term heat uptake or scale the heat uptake patterns between scenarios. These results also question simple methods to estimate long-term sea level rise from surface temperatures, and the use of deep sea proxies to represent surface temperature changes in past climate. © 2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84979470028&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL068041&partnerID=40&md5=b0ed0d782253327fc570c0f81b207116
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10114
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Rugenstein M.A.A.,Sedláček J.,Knutti R.. Nonlinearities in patterns of long-term ocean warming[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(7).
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