DOI: 10.1002/2016GL067841
论文题名: Spatiotemporal patterns and trends of Indian monsoonal rainfall extremes
作者: Malik N. ; Bookhagen B. ; Mucha P.J.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9342
EISSN: 1944-9073
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 4 起始页码: 1710
结束页码: 1717
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change
; droughts
; extreme events
; floods
; Indian summer monsoon
; quantile regression
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric thermodynamics
; Climate change
; Drought
; Flood control
; Floods
; Climatic conditions
; Comprehensive analysis
; Extreme events
; Flood vulnerabilities
; Indian summer monsoon
; Quantile regression
; Spatiotemporal patterns
; Temporal and spatial scale
; Rain
; climate change
; drought
; extreme event
; flooding
; monsoon
; precipitation intensity
; rainfall
; regression analysis
; spatiotemporal analysis
; summer
; trend analysis
; Himalayas
; India
; Myanmar
; Pakistan
英文摘要: In this study, we provide a comprehensive analysis of trends in the extremes during the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) months (June to September) at different temporal and spatial scales. Our goal is to identify and quantify spatiotemporal patterns and trends that have emerged during the recent decades and may be associated with changing climatic conditions. Our analysis primarily relies on quantile regression that avoids making any subjective choices on spatial, temporal, or intensity pattern of extreme rainfall events. Our analysis divides the Indian monsoon region into climatic compartments that show different and partly opposing trends. These include strong trends toward intensified droughts in Northwest India, parts of Peninsular India, and Myanmar; in contrast, parts of Pakistan, Northwest Himalaya, and Central India show increased extreme daily rain intensity leading to higher flood vulnerability. Our analysis helps explain previously contradicting results of trends in average ISM rainfall. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84977851673&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL067841&partnerID=40&md5=7057312030fd9c67bacdd5567b88bdfe
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10305
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Carolina Center for Interdisciplinary Applied Mathematics, Department of Mathematics, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
Recommended Citation:
Malik N.,Bookhagen B.,Mucha P.J.. Spatiotemporal patterns and trends of Indian monsoonal rainfall extremes[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(4).