| DOI: | 10.1002/2015GL067137
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| 论文题名: | How will SOA change in the future? |
| 作者: | Lin G.; Penner J.E.; Zhou C.
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| 刊名: | Geophysical Research Letters
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| ISSN: | 0094-9365
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| EISSN: | 1944-9096
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| 出版年: | 2016
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| 卷: | 43, 期:4 | | 起始页码: | 1718
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| 结束页码: | 1726
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| 语种: | 英语
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| 英文关键词: | aerosol
; atmospheric chemistry
; biogenic VOCs
; biosphere and atmosphere interactions
; climate change
; SOA
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| Scopus关键词: | Aerosols
; Atmospheric chemistry
; Carbon dioxide
; Climate models
; Earth (planet)
; Land use
; Particulate emissions
; Anthropogenic emissions
; Biogenic VOCs
; Earth system model
; Effect of temperature
; Inhibition effect
; Northern Hemispheres
; Radiative balance
; Secondary organic aerosols
; Climate change
; aerosol
; anthropogenic source
; atmosphere-biosphere interaction
; atmospheric chemistry
; biogenic emission
; climate change
; concentration (composition)
; future prospect
; isoprene
; land use change
; Northern Hemisphere
; sulfur
; volatile organic compound
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| 英文摘要: | Secondary organic aerosol (SOA) plays a significant role in the Earth system by altering its radiative balance. Here we use an Earth system model coupled with an explicit SOA formation module to estimate the response of SOA concentrations to changes in climate, anthropogenic emissions, and human land use in the future. We find that climate change is the major driver for SOA change under the representative concentration pathways for the 8.5 future scenario. Climate change increases isoprene emission rate by 18% with the effect of temperature increases outweighing that of the CO2 inhibition effect. Annual mean global SOA mass is increased by 25% as a result of climate change. However, anthropogenic emissions and land use change decrease SOA. The net effect is that future global SOA burden in 2100 is nearly the same as that of the present day. The SOA concentrations over the Northern Hemisphere are predicted to decline in the future due to the control of sulfur emissions. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. |
| URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84975746757&doi=10.1002%2f2015GL067137&partnerID=40&md5=b5a20176d8170a5f137bee1b3c2bf412
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| Citation statistics: |
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| 资源类型: | 期刊论文
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| 标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10328
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| Appears in Collections: | 科学计划与规划
气候变化与战略
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作者单位: | Department of Atmospheric, Oceanic and Space Sciences, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, United States
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| Recommended Citation: | |
Lin G.,Penner J.E.,Zhou C.. How will SOA change in the future?[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(4).
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