globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1038/ngeo2783
论文题名:
Storm track processes and the opposing influences of climate change
作者: Shaw T.A.; Baldwin M.; Barnes E.A.; Caballero R.; Garfinkel C.I.; Hwang Y.-T.; Li C.; O'Gorman P.A.; Rivière G.; Simpson I.R.; Voigt A.
刊名: Nature Geoscience
ISSN: 17520894
出版年: 2016
卷: 9, 期:9
起始页码: 656
结束页码: 664
语种: 英语
Scopus关键词: atmosphere-ocean coupling ; climate change ; cloud radiative forcing ; cyclone ; energy balance ; extreme event ; global climate ; sea surface temperature ; storm track ; temperature profile ; tropical region
英文摘要: Extratropical cyclones are storm systems that are observed to travel preferentially within confined regions known as storm tracks. They contribute to precipitation, wind and temperature extremes in mid-latitudes. Cyclones tend to form where surface temperature gradients are large, and the jet stream influences their speed and direction of travel. Storm tracks shape the global climate through transport of energy and momentum. The intensity and location of storm tracks varies seasonally, and in response to other natural variations, such as changes in tropical sea surface temperature. A hierarchy of numerical models of the atmosphere-ocean system-from highly idealized to comprehensive-has been used to study and predict responses of storm tracks to anthropogenic climate change. The future position and intensity of storm tracks depend on processes that alter temperature gradients. However, different processes can have opposing influences on temperature gradients, which leads to a tug of war on storm track responses and makes future projections more difficult. For example, as climate warms, surface shortwave cloud radiative changes increase the Equator-To-pole temperature gradient, but at the same time, longwave cloud radiative changes reduce this gradient. Future progress depends on understanding and accurately quantifying the relative influence of such processes on the storm tracks. © 2016 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. All rights reserved.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/105943
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应
科学计划与规划

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作者单位: Department of the Geophysical Sciences, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States; Department of Mathematics, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom; Department of Atmospheric Science, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States; Department of Meteorology, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden; Fredy and Nadine Herrmann Institute of Earth Sciences, Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan; Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway; Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States; Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique/IPSL, Ecole Normale Superieure/CNRS, Paris, France; National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, United States

Recommended Citation:
Shaw T.A.,Baldwin M.,Barnes E.A.,et al. Storm track processes and the opposing influences of climate change[J]. Nature Geoscience,2016-01-01,9(9)
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