DOI: 10.1002/2016GL068935
论文题名: Potential trends in snowmelt-generated peak streamflows in a warming climate
作者: Wang R. ; Kumar M. ; Link T.E.
刊名: Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN: 0094-9726
EISSN: 1944-9457
出版年: 2016
卷: 43, 期: 10 起始页码: 5052
结束页码: 5059
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate warming
; snow-to-rain conversion
; streamflow peak
Scopus关键词: Catchments
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Snow
; Snow melting systems
; Stream flow
; Watersheds
; Climate warming
; Hydro climatologies
; Physically based
; Potential change
; Precipitation phase
; Semi-arid mountains
; Warming climate
; Watershed hydrological model
; Rain
英文摘要: Previously reported impacts of climate warming on streamflow peaks are varied, and the controls on the variations remain unclear. Using physically based linked snowpack and watershed hydrological models, we evaluated the potential changes in seasonal snowmelt-generated streamflow peak (Qmax) due to warming in a small semiarid mountain watershed. Results suggest that the trend in Qmax with warming is strongly governed by the conversion of precipitation phase, accumulated snow amount prior to the melt season, and snowmelt rate during the ablation period. Under a warming climate, the trend in Qmax is expected to be decreasing for relatively warm regions but increasing for cold regions. Climate regimes that are most susceptible to dominant precipitation phase transitions from snow to rain are likely to experience larger decreases in Qmax with warming. This study serves as a first step toward assessing the varied impacts on Qmax due to warming vis-a-vis the specific catchment hydroclimatology. ©2016. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved.
URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84971275513&doi=10.1002%2f2016GL068935&partnerID=40&md5=f74ab461bc7b2ddbfac7da528d222d65
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/10689
Appears in Collections: 科学计划与规划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Nicholas School of Environment, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States
Recommended Citation:
Wang R.,Kumar M.,Link T.E.. Potential trends in snowmelt-generated peak streamflows in a warming climate[J]. Geophysical Research Letters,2016-01-01,43(10).