globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1016/j.accre.2018.02.001
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85044310182
论文题名:
Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study
作者: Lugovoy O.; Feng X.-Z.; Gao J.; Li J.-F.; Liu Q.; Teng F.; Zou L.-L.
刊名: Advances in Climate Change Research
ISSN: 16749278
出版年: 2018
卷: 9, 期:1
起始页码: 1
结束页码: 15
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Bottom-Up energy models ; Carbon emissions projections ; China Energy Modeling Forum (CEMF) ; China's Paris commitment ; Climate change ; CO2 emissions peak ; Multi model comparative study ; Top-Down energy models
英文摘要: The paper summarizes results of the China Energy Modeling Forum's (CEMF) first study. Carbon emissions peaking scenarios, consistent with China's Paris commitment, have been simulated with seven national and industry-level energy models and compared. The CO2 emission trends in the considered scenarios peak from 2015 to 2030 at the level of 9–11 Gt. Sector-level analysis suggests that total emissions pathways before 2030 will be determined mainly by dynamics of emissions in the electric power industry and transportation sector. Both sectors will experience significant increase in demand, but have low-carbon alternative options for development. Based on a side-by-side comparison of modeling input and results, conclusions have been drawn regarding the sources of emissions projections differences, which include data, views on economic perspectives, or models' structure and theoretical framework. Some suggestions have been made regarding energy models' development priorities for further research. © 2018 National Climate Center (China Meteorological Administration)
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/108721
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Environmental Defense Fund, Washington, DC 20009, United States; Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing, 100029, China; Environmental Defense Fund, Beijing, 100007, China; Policy Simulation Laboratory, State Information Center, Beijing, 100045, China; National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation, Beijing, 100038, China; Institutes of Energy, Environment, and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China; Institute of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China

Recommended Citation:
Lugovoy O.,Feng X.-Z.,Gao J.,et al. Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China: Lessons from CEMF01 study[J]. Advances in Climate Change Research,2018-01-01,9(1)
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