globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.009
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85042741855
论文题名:
Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4
作者: Ozturk T.; Turp M.T.; Türkeş M.; Kurnaz M.L.
刊名: Atmospheric Research
ISSN: 1698095
出版年: 2018
卷: 206
起始页码: 87
结束页码: 107
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Arid-lands ; Central and North Africa ; Climate change ; Middle East ; Projections ; RegCM4.4 ; Regional climate modeling
Scopus关键词: Climate change ; Climatology ; Electric power system interconnection ; Arid lands ; Middle East ; North Africa ; Projections ; RegCM4.4 ; Regional climate modeling ; Climate models ; air temperature ; arid region ; climate change ; climate modeling ; climatology ; downscaling ; future prospect ; precipitation (climatology) ; weather forecasting ; Central Africa ; North Africa
英文摘要: In this study, we investigate changes in seasonal temperature and precipitation climatology of CORDEX Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region for three periods of 2010–2040, 2040–2070 and 2070–2100 with respect to the control period of 1970–2000 by using regional climate model simulations. Projections of future climate conditions are modeled by forcing Regional Climate Model, RegCM4.4 of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) with two different CMIP5 global climate models. HadGEM2-ES global climate model of the Met Office Hadley Centre and MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology were used to generate 50 km resolution data for the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) Region 13. We test the seasonal time-scale performance of RegCM4.4 in simulating the observed climatology over domain of the MENA by using the output of two different global climate models. The projection results show relatively high increase of average temperatures from 3 °C up to 9 °C over the domain for far future (2070–2100). A strong decrease in precipitation is projected in almost all parts of the domain according to the output of the regional model forced by scenario outputs of two global models. Therefore, warmer and drier than present climate conditions are projected to occur more intensely over the CORDEX-MENA domain. © 2018 Elsevier B.V.
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/108908
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: Department of Physics, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Isik University, Istanbul, 34980, Turkey; Department of Environmental Sciences, Institute of Environmental Sciences, Bogazici University, Istanbul, 34342, Turkey; Department of Physics, Faculty of Arts and Sciences, Bogazici University, Istanbul, 34342, Turkey; Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Bogazici University, Istanbul, 34342, Turkey

Recommended Citation:
Ozturk T.,Turp M.T.,Türkeş M.,et al. Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4[J]. Atmospheric Research,2018-01-01,206
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