globalchange  > 影响、适应和脆弱性
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-017-3822-7
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85026436952
论文题名:
Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change
作者: Wilcox L.J.; Yiou P.; Hauser M.; Lott F.C.; van Oldenborgh G.J.; Colfescu I.; Dong B.; Hegerl G.; Shaffrey L.; Sutton R.
刊名: Climate Dynamics
ISSN: 9307575
出版年: 2018
卷: 50, 期:2018-09-10
起始页码: 3537
结束页码: 3555
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Attribution ; Drought ; Precipitation
Scopus关键词: atmospheric circulation ; climate change ; drought ; precipitation (climatology) ; summer ; Europe
英文摘要: Summer 2012 was very wet in northern Europe, and unusually dry and hot in southern Europe. We use multiple approaches to determine whether anthropogenic forcing made the extreme European summer of 2012 more likely. Using a number of observation- and model-based methods, we find that there was an anthropogenic contribution to the extremes in southern Europe, with a qualitative consensus across all methodologies. There was a consensus across the methodologies that there has been a significant increase in the risk of hot summers in southern Europe with climate change. Most approaches also suggested a slight drying, but none of the results were statistically significant. The unusually wet summer in northern Europe was made more likely by the observed atmospheric circulation pattern in 2012, but no evidence was found for a long-term trend in circulation. © 2017, The Author(s).
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/109333
Appears in Collections:影响、适应和脆弱性
气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: National Centre for Atmospheric Science (Climate), Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environment, UMR 8212 CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris-Saclay and IPSL, Gif-sur-Yvette, France; ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, EX1 3PB, United Kingdom; Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), De Bilt, Netherlands; School of GeoSciences, Grant Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom

Recommended Citation:
Wilcox L.J.,Yiou P.,Hauser M.,et al. Multiple perspectives on the attribution of the extreme European summer of 2012 to climate change[J]. Climate Dynamics,2018-01-01,50(2018-09-10)
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