DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0143.1
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85040551529
论文题名: Influence of global warming on Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensities during 2015
作者: Yang S.-H. ; Kang N.-Y. ; Elsner J.B. ; Chun Y.
刊名: Journal of Climate
ISSN: 8948755
出版年: 2018
卷: 31, 期: 2 起始页码: 919
结束页码: 925
语种: 英语
英文关键词: ENSO
; Sea surface temperature
; Tropical cyclones
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Climatology
; Efficiency
; Global warming
; Nickel
; Oceanography
; Storms
; Submarine geophysics
; Surface properties
; Surface waters
; Tropics
; ENSO
; Mean sea surfaces
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Tropical cyclone
; Tropical cyclone intensity
; Western North Pacific
; Hurricanes
; El Nino-Southern Oscillation
; global warming
; sea surface temperature
; tropical cyclone
; Pacific Ocean
; Pacific Ocean (North)
英文摘要: The climate of 2015 was characterized by a strong El Niño, global warmth, and record-setting tropical cyclone (TC) intensity for western North Pacific typhoons. In this study, the highest TC intensity in 32 years (1984-2015) is shown to be a consequence of above normal TC activity-following natural internal variation-and greater efficiency of intensity. The efficiency of intensity (EINT) is termed the "blasting" effect and refers to typhoon intensification at the expense of occurrence. Statistical models show that the EINT is mostly due to the anomalous warmth in the environment indicated by global mean sea surface temperature. In comparison, the EINT due to El Niño is negligible. This implies that the record-setting intensity of 2015 might not have occurred without environmental warming and suggests that a year with even greater TC intensity is possible in the near future when above normal activity coincides with another record EINT due to continued multidecadal warming. © 2018 American Meteorological Society. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/111740
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
There are no files associated with this item.
作者单位: National Typhoon Center/Korea Meteorological Administration, Jeju, South Korea; Department of Geography, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, United States
Recommended Citation:
Yang S.-H.,Kang N.-Y.,Elsner J.B.,et al. Influence of global warming on Western North Pacific tropical cyclone intensities during 2015[J]. Journal of Climate,2018-01-01,31(2)