DOI: | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.10.012
|
论文题名: | Predicted areas of potential distributions of alpine wetlands under different scenarios in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China |
作者: | Xue Z.; Zhang Z.; Lu X.; Zou Y.; Lu Y.; Jiang M.; Tong S.; Zhang K.
|
ISSN: | 0921-8431
|
出版年: | 2014
|
卷: | 123, 期:PA | 起始页码: | 77
|
结束页码: | 85
|
语种: | 英语
|
英文关键词: | Alpine wetlands
; BIOMOD
; Climate change
; Habitat distribution models
; Qinghai-tibetan plateau
|
Scopus关键词: | Alpine wetland
; BIOMOD
; Habitat distribution
; Potential distributions
; Qinghai-Tibetan plateau
; Climate change
; adaptation
; alpine environment
; carbon sequestration
; climate effect
; environmental effect
; habitat structure
; simulation
; spatial resolution
; wetland
; China
; China
; Qinghai-Xizang Plateau
|
英文摘要: | Wetlands are vulnerable ecosystems to climate change for they would normally adapt slowly to keep pace with changing environmental conditions especially wetlands located at high altitudes which are under threat of severe warming. In this paper, we used distribution data of four types of wetlands in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP) and ensemble habitat distribution models (HDMs) to assess the potential impacts of climate change under three IPCC scenarios. The baseline year was 2000s and the scenarios were used for 3 periods (2020s, 2050s and 2080s) at a spatial resolution of 1. ×. 1. km. The simulation results show that severe warming will happen in mid-21st century and annual average temperature will be above 0. °C. Areas climatically suitable for alpine wetlands tend to shift and shrink generally in the QTP in the future. Even under the optimistic scenario, the total area of wetland is predicted to decline by 35.7%. Nearly all wet meadow and saltmarsh will disappear under all scenarios in the Qiangtang basin. Vital functions of alpine wetlands such as carbon sequestration, water maintain, and habitats provide will be at severe risk. This research provides valuable information for the future conservation of the alpine wetlands within the QTP. © 2014 Elsevier B.V. |
URL: | https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84909954167&doi=10.1016%2fj.gloplacha.2014.10.012&partnerID=40&md5=8e94643ba68634a001f8c5d548580d78
|
Citation statistics: |
|
资源类型: | 期刊论文
|
标识符: | http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/11337
|
Appears in Collections: | 全球变化的国际研究计划
|
There are no files associated with this item.
|
作者单位: | Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Environment, Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, CAS, Changchun, China
|
Recommended Citation: |
Xue Z.,Zhang Z.,Lu X.,et al. Predicted areas of potential distributions of alpine wetlands under different scenarios in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, China[J],2014-01-01,123(PA).
|
|
|