DOI: 10.1029/2017JD028212
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85049854482
论文题名: Current and Future Estimates of Wind Energy Potential Over Saudi Arabia
作者: Chen W. ; Castruccio S. ; Genton M.G. ; Crippa P.
刊名: Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
ISSN: 2169897X
出版年: 2018
卷: 123, 期: 12 起始页码: 6443
结束页码: 6459
语种: 英语
英文关键词: MENA CORDEX
; MERRA-2
; Saudi Arabia
; wind energy potential
; wind speed
Scopus关键词: annual cycle
; demand analysis
; downscaling
; estimation method
; fossil fuel
; seasonality
; social development
; spatiotemporal analysis
; wind power
; wind velocity
; Indian Ocean
; Madinah
; Medina [Madinah]
; North Africa
; Red Sea [Indian Ocean]
; Saudi Arabia
英文摘要: Saudi Arabia has a long tradition of relying on fossil fuels for satisfying its energy demand. With the rising energy needs due to population growth and societal development, the nation is seeking other sources of energy, which include its largely underused wind resources. In this paper, we analyze the wind power potential in Saudi Arabia based on the MENA CORDEX (Middle East North Africa Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment) model output. We investigate which climate settings and MENA CORDEX runs best capture the spatiotemporal patterns of reanalysis products, as assessed by multiple statistical metrics. Although there is a systematic negative bias in wind speed magnitudes for the five analyzed MENA CORDEX simulations, all runs are able to reproduce the seasonality and annual cycle of wind speed shown in the reanalysis data. The MENA CORDEX run with the highest skills is used to quantify the wind energy potential in Saudi Arabia in both current and future climates. Our analysis shows that a high wind energy potential exists over a vast area of western Saudi Arabia, particularly in the region between Medina and the Red Sea coast and during summer months. Based on model projections, the energy potential in these areas is likely to persist at least until the middle of the 21st century and thus may provide a valuable renewable source of energy. ©2018. American Geophysical Union. All Rights Reserved. Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/113673
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Statistics Program, King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Thuwal, Saudi Arabia; Department of Applied and Computational Mathematics and Statistics, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States; Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Earth Sciences, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States
Recommended Citation:
Chen W.,Castruccio S.,Genton M.G.,et al. Current and Future Estimates of Wind Energy Potential Over Saudi Arabia[J]. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres,2018-01-01,123(12)