DOI: 10.1002/joc.5845
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85052923609
论文题名: The longest one-man weather chronicle (1721–1786) by Gottfried Reyger for Gdańsk, Poland as a source for improved understanding of past climate variability
作者: Filipiak J. ; Przybylak R. ; Oliński P.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2019
卷: 39, 期: 2 起始页码: 828
结束页码: 842
语种: 英语
英文关键词: 18th century
; climate variability
; documentary data
; Gdańsk
; Gottfried Reyger
; historical climatology
; Poland
Scopus关键词: Climatology
; Error statistics
; Linear regression
; 18th century
; Climate variability
; documentary data
; Gottfried Reyger
; Historical climatologies
; Poland
; Mean square error
; air temperature
; climate variation
; climatology
; documentary source
; eighteenth century
; historical perspective
; precipitation (climatology)
; weather
; Gdansk [Poland]
; Poland [Central Europe]
英文摘要: In the paper we focus on the notes of botanist and meteorologist Gottfried Reyger on the weather conditions in Gdańsk, Poland. In our estimation, this chronicle, covering the period from December 1721 to June 1786 (the longest weather chronicle recorded by a single person), is a reliable source of information with the potential to contribute to the understanding of climate variability in 18th-century Gdańsk, the significant old Hanseatic city in northern Poland. The temperature and precipitation series for the period 1721–1786 were indexed against contemporary conditions using the calculated percentages of cold, normal and warm decades. The climate in the 18th century in Gdańsk was colder than nowadays; the springs were much cooler, as were the winters, while the summers were warmer. A few relatively cold periods and several warm periods were identified. The first half of the analysed period was very humid, whereas the second was quite dry. The reconstructed indexed data series were compared to annual and seasonal mean values of air temperature and precipitation derived from regular instrumental observations made in Gdańsk since 1739. The linear regression method was applied to calibrate the reconstructed index series against anomalies from the 1961–1990 average. The correlation coefficient, standard error of estimate and the root-mean-square error statistics were used to diagnose the quality of calibration and verification. The highest correlation between the temperature indices and the observational series was found for winter. The reconstructed series for precipitation has a smaller variability than in reality. The reconstructed values for the years prior to 1739 indicate cold years for 1725–1732 and a wet period in the 1730s. © 2018 Royal Meteorological Society Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116589
Appears in Collections: 全球变化的国际研究计划
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作者单位: Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Oceanography and Geography, Institute of Geography, University of Gdańsk, Gdańsk, Poland; Department of Meteorology and Climatology, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń, Toruń, Poland; Department of Medieval History, Faculty of History, Institute of History and Archival Sciences, Nicolaus Copernicus University in Toruń, Toruń, Poland
Recommended Citation:
Filipiak J.,Przybylak R.,Oliński P.. The longest one-man weather chronicle (1721–1786) by Gottfried Reyger for Gdańsk, Poland as a source for improved understanding of past climate variability[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2019-01-01,39(2)