DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.05.001
论文题名: Changes of storm properties in the United States: Observations and multimodel ensemble projections
作者: Jiang P. ; Yu Z. ; Gautam M.R. ; Yuan F. ; Acharya K.
刊名: Global and Planetary Change
ISSN: 0921-8181
出版年: 2016
卷: 142 起始页码: 41
结束页码: 52
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Multi-model ensembles
; NARCCAP RCMs
; Percentage changes
; Storm properties
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Climate models
; Future projections
; Multi-model ensemble
; NARCCAP RCMs
; Percentage changes
; Precipitation characteristics
; Regional climate changes
; Regional climate models
; Seasonal variation
; Storms
英文摘要: Changes in climate are likely to induce changes in precipitation characteristics including intensity, frequency, duration and patterns of events. In this paper, we evaluate the performance of multiple regional climate models (RCMs) in the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP) to simulate storm properties including storm duration, inter-storm period, storm intensity, and within-storm patterns at eight locations in the continental US. We also investigate the future projections of them based on precipitation from NARCCAP historic runs and future runs. Results illustrate that NARCCAP RCMs are consistent with observed precipitation in the seasonal variation of storm duration and inter-storm period, but fail to simulate the magnitude. The ability to simulate the seasonal trend of average storm intensity varies among locations. Within-storm patterns from RCMs exhibit greater variability than from observed records. Comparisons between RCM-historic simulations and RCM projections indicate that there is a large variation in the future changes in storm properties. However, multi-model ensembles of the storm properties suggest that most regions of the United States will experience future changes in storm properties that includes shorter storm duration, longer inter-storm period, and larger average storm intensity. © 2016 Elsevier B.V. URL: https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-84971667615&doi=10.1016%2fj.gloplacha.2016.05.001&partnerID=40&md5=b58eca5b3172b7bc2938653f22cc87ac
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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/11667
Appears in Collections: 全球变化的国际研究计划 气候变化与战略
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作者单位: Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Desert Research Institute, Las Vegas, NV, United States
Recommended Citation:
Jiang P.,Yu Z.,Gautam M.R.,et al. Changes of storm properties in the United States: Observations and multimodel ensemble projections[J]. Global and Planetary Change,2016-01-01,142.