DOI: 10.1002/joc.5688
论文题名: Sea surface temperature change in the Black Sea under climate change: A simulation of the sea surface temperature up to 2100
作者: Sakalli A. ; Başusta N.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期: 13 起始页码: 4687
结束页码: 4698
语种: 英语
英文关键词: anchovy
; Black Sea warming
; CMEMS
; remote sensing
; SST
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric temperature
; Climate change
; Remote sensing
; Submarine geophysics
; Surface properties
; Surface waters
; Anchovy
; Black sea
; Climate change scenarios
; CMEMS
; Environmental conditions
; Sea surface temperature (SST)
; Sea-surface temperature change
; Surface temperatures
; Oceanography
; climate change
; clupeoid
; environmental conditions
; remote sensing
; sea surface temperature
; seasonal variation
; warming
; Black Sea
; Engraulidae
英文摘要: Surface temperature of the Black Sea increased due to climate change during the 20th century and continues to rise. Here we present by in situ data-corrected remote-sensed SST data covering a 34-year period (1982–2015). Using a linear black box model, we predicted the Black Sea surface temperature (SST) up to 2100. During the 34-year study period, we detected a 0.64 °C increase in SST per decade. The largest monthly fluctuations in SST were during late summer (August) and autumn (November). The rate of SST increase has almost caught up with the worst climate change scenario for the future. At the end of this century, the relative increase in average Black Sea SST is predicted to be 5.1 °C. In summary, our data show sea surface warming during recent decades, and we predict that this warming is likely to continue under the present environmental condition. The warming of the sea seems to also influence the amount of caught anchovies in the Black Sea. After 1993, the amount of captured anchovies in the southern Black Sea was drastically decreased with increased SST. © 2018 Royal Meteorological Society Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/116767
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Faculty of Marine Sciences and Technology, Iskenderun Technical University, Iskenderun, Turkey; Fisheries Faculty, Firat University, Elazığ, Turkey
Recommended Citation:
Sakalli A.,Başusta N.. Sea surface temperature change in the Black Sea under climate change: A simulation of the sea surface temperature up to 2100[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(13)