DOI: 10.1002/joc.5287
论文题名: Evaluation of summer precipitation from EURO-CORDEX fine-scale RCM simulations over Norway
作者: Dyrrdal A.V. ; Stordal F. ; Lussana C.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期: 4 起始页码: 1661
结束页码: 1677
语种: 英语
英文关键词: euro-CORDEX
; evaluation
; extremes
; Norway
; precipitation
; regional climate models
; sub-daily precipitation
; summer precipitation
Scopus关键词: Climate change
; Precipitation (chemical)
; Precipitation (meteorology)
; Daily precipitations
; Euro-CORDEX
; Evaluation
; Extremes
; Norway
; Regional climate models
; Summer precipitation
; Climate models
; climate effect
; climate modeling
; computer simulation
; extreme event
; precipitation (climatology)
; precipitation assessment
; regional climate
; summer
; Norway
英文摘要: Regional climate models represent a valuable tool in climate impact analyses. Their ability to accurately estimate current and future climate conditions is increasingly important. In Norway precipitation is of special interest. Heavy precipitation, particularly over short durations, is responsible for enormous damages to infrastructure such as roads and railways, hence information on a fine spatial and temporal scale is crucial. We evaluate the ability of seven regional climate model simulations of 0.11° resolution from the CORDEX ensemble in reproducing 3-h and 24-h accumulated summer precipitation characteristics in Norway. The two-step evaluation includes comparison of modelled precipitation to gridded observation-based datasets and to station measurements in terms of the following indices: summer maxima, summer wet event frequency, and total summer precipitation. We find a general overestimation by the models for all indices, with only few exceptions. Country-wide spatial averages show, however, that simulated summer maxima are mainly within the uncertainty interval of the gridded reference dataset. This might also be true for summer wet event frequency, although the comparison to station measurements indicates that the positive bias is significant. We find the largest deviation between models in the evaluation of summer totals. The spatial distribution of the different precipitation indices is fairly well simulated, although the precipitation gradients evident in observation-based datasets appear weak in the models. We believe the high spatial resolution improves the simulations of extreme precipitation in Norway, especially in areas of orographic enhancement. © 2017 Royal Meteorological Society Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/117073
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: The Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway; Department of Geosciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway
Recommended Citation:
Dyrrdal A.V.,Stordal F.,Lussana C.. Evaluation of summer precipitation from EURO-CORDEX fine-scale RCM simulations over Norway[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(4)