DOI: 10.1002/joc.5212
论文题名: Monthly climate variation over Korea in relation to the two types of ENSO evolution
作者: Yeo S.-R. ; Yeh S.-W. ; Kim Y. ; Yim S.-Y.
刊名: International Journal of Climatology
ISSN: 8998418
出版年: 2018
卷: 38, 期: 2 起始页码: 811
结束页码: 824
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate prediction
; ENSO evolution
; Korean climate
Scopus关键词: Atmospheric pressure
; Climate models
; Forecasting
; Atmospheric response
; Climate prediction
; Different evolutions
; Economic Co-operation
; ENSO evolution
; Korean climate
; Precipitation anomalies
; Southern oscillation
; Climatology
; air temperature
; climate prediction
; El Nino-Southern Oscillation
; ensemble forecasting
; La Nina
; precipitation (climatology)
; temporal variation
; Korea
英文摘要: This study documents monthly temperature and precipitation anomalies over Korea during the different phases of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) for the two types of ENSO evolution. The evolution process of ENSO can be classified into two groups based on whether El Niño turns into La Niña in the subsequent year. The first group involves the transition process from El Niño to La Niña, while the second group shows the prolonged El Niño or neutral conditions after the mature phase of El Niño. Because the mid-latitude atmospheric responses as well as the equatorial heating anomalies for the two groups of ENSO are different each other, the ENSO-related climate variation over Korea are investigated separately for the two ENSO evolution groups. In particular, this study focuses on the entire monthly evolution of the temperature and precipitation over Korea during the different phases of ENSO. The statistically robust signals can be found in several particular months, which provides statistical basis for predicting monthly climate over Korea. In addition to the observational data analyses, we further investigate the forecast skill of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) in simulating two groups of ENSO evolution and their impacts on Korean climate. The result shows that the MME reasonably predicts the two different evolution of ENSO as in observation but their prediction skills for the ENSO-related Korean climate are diverse, which largely depends on the phase of ENSO. © 2017 Royal Meteorological Society Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/117077
Appears in Collections: 气候减缓与适应
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作者单位: Climate Prediction Team, APEC Climate Center, Busan, South Korea; Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, ERICA, Hanyang University, Ansan, South Korea; Climate Prediction Division, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul, South Korea
Recommended Citation:
Yeo S.-R.,Yeh S.-W.,Kim Y.,et al. Monthly climate variation over Korea in relation to the two types of ENSO evolution[J]. International Journal of Climatology,2018-01-01,38(2)