DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14479
Scopus记录号: 2-s2.0-85056467637
论文题名: Divergent trends in the risk of spring frost damage to trees in Europe with recent warming
作者: Ma Q. ; Huang J.-G. ; Hänninen H. ; Berninger F.
刊名: Global Change Biology
ISSN: 13541013
出版年: 2019
卷: 25, 期: 1 起始页码: 351
结束页码: 360
语种: 英语
英文关键词: climate change
; frost damage
; phenology
; spring frost
; temperate tree
Scopus关键词: climate change
; frost
; phenology
; risk assessment
; spring (season)
; tree
; warming
; Europe
; climate change
; cold
; Europe
; freezing
; growth, development and aging
; season
; tree
; Climate Change
; Cold Temperature
; Europe
; Freezing
; Seasons
; Trees
英文摘要: Frost events during the active growth period of plants can cause extensive frost damage with tremendous economic losses and dramatic ecological consequences. A common assumption is that climate warming may bring along a reduction in the frequency and severity of frost damage to vegetation. On the other hand, it has been argued that rising temperature in late winter and early spring might trigger the so called “false spring”, that is, early onset of growth that is followed by cold spells, resulting in increased frost damage. By combining daily gridded climate data and 1,489 k in situ phenological observations of 27 tree species from 5,565 phenological observation sites in Europe, we show here that temporal changes in the risk of spring frost damage with recent warming vary largely depending on the species and geographical locations. Species whose phenology was especially sensitive to climate warming tended to have increased risk of frost damage. Geographically, compared with continental areas, maritime and coastal areas in Europe were more exposed to increasing occurrence of frost and these late spring frosts were getting more severe in the maritime and coastal areas. Our results suggest that even though temperatures will be elevated in the future, some phenologically responsive species and many populations of a given species will paradoxically experience more frost damage in the future warming climate. More attention should be paid to the increased frost damage in responsive species and populations in maritime areas when developing strategies to mitigate the potential negative impacts of climate change on ecosystems in the near future. © 2018 John Wiley & Sons Ltd Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/117559
Appears in Collections: 气候变化与战略
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Recommended Citation:
Ma Q.,Huang J.-G.,Hänninen H.,et al. Divergent trends in the risk of spring frost damage to trees in Europe with recent warming[J]. Global Change Biology,2019-01-01,25(1)