globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4128-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000460619200013
论文题名:
Assessment of climate change in Algeria from 1951 to 2098 using the Koppen-Geiger climate classification scheme
作者: Zeroual, Ayoub1,2; Assani, Ali A.2; Meddi, Mohamed1; Alkama, Ramdane3
通讯作者: Zeroual, Ayoub
刊名: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
出版年: 2019
卷: 52, 期:1-2, 页码:227-243
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate zone shift ; Koppen-Geiger ; CORDEX-Africa simulations ; Algeria
WOS关键词: WORLD MAP ; PRECIPITATION ; TRENDS ; VARIABILITY ; ENSEMBLE ; AFRICA ; SHIFTS ; 20TH-CENTURY ; SIMULATIONS ; TEMPERATURE
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Significant changes in regional climates have been observed at the end of the twentieth century, taking place at unprecedented rates. These changes, in turn, lead to changes in global climate zones with pace and amplitude varying from one region to another. Algeria, a country characterized by climate conditions ranging from relatively wet to very dry (desert-like), has also experienced changes in its climate regions, notably in the country's wet region, which represents about 7% of its total surface area, but is home to 75% of its population. In this study, the pace of climate zone changes as it is defined by Koppen-Geiger was analyzed for the period from 1951 to 2098 using climate data from observation and regional climate simulations over Algeria. The ability of the CORDEX-Africa regional climate models simulations to reproduce the current observed climate zones and their shifts was first assessed. Future changes over the whole of the twenty-first century were then estimated based on two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) scenarios. Analysis of the shift rate of climate zones from 1951 to 2005 found a gradual but significant expansion of the surface area of the desert zone at an approximate rate of 650 +/- 160km(2)/year along with the abrupt shrinking, by approximately 30%, at a rate of 1086 +/- 270km(2)/year, of the warm temperate climate zone surface area. According to projections for the RCP8.5 scenario, the rate of expansion of desert climate will increase in the future (twenty-first century), particularly during the period from 2045 to 2098.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125077
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Ecole Natl Super Hydraul Blida, GEE, Soumaa, Algeria
2.Univ Quebec Trois Rivieres, Dept Environm Sci, Trois Rivieres, PQ, Canada
3.European Commiss, JRC, Directorate D Sustainable Resources, Bioecon Unit, TP124 Via E Fermi,2749, I-21027 Ispra, VA, Italy

Recommended Citation:
Zeroual, Ayoub,Assani, Ali A.,Meddi, Mohamed,et al. Assessment of climate change in Algeria from 1951 to 2098 using the Koppen-Geiger climate classification scheme[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,52(1-2):227-243
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