globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2385-9
WOS记录号: WOS:000459226500029
论文题名:
Suitable areas of Phakopsora pachyrhizi, Spodoptera exigua, and their host plant Phaseolus vulgaris are projected to reduce and shift due to climate change
作者: Ramirez-Cabral, Nadiezhda Yakovleva Zitz1,2; Kumar, Lalit1; Shabani, Farzin1
通讯作者: Ramirez-Cabral, Nadiezhda Yakovleva Zitz
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 135, 期:1-2, 页码:409-424
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Food security ; Climate change ; Asiatic soybean rust ; Beet armyworm ; Common bean ; Suitability ; Abiotic stresses
WOS关键词: ASIAN SOYBEAN RUST ; 1ST REPORT ; FUTURE DISTRIBUTION ; ALTERNATIVE HOSTS ; 1ST-REPORT ; TEMPERATURE ; INFECTION ; PATHOGENS ; SPP. ; ESTABLISHMENT
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Worldwide, crop pests (CPs) such as pathogens and insects affect agricultural production detrimentally. Species distribution models can be used for projecting current and future suitability of CPs and host crop localities. Our study overlays the distribution of two CPs (Asian soybean rust and beet armyworm) and common bean, a potential host of them, in order to determine their current and future levels of coexistence. This kind of modeling approach has rarely been performed previously in climate change studies. The soybean rust and beet armyworm model projections herein show a reduction of the worldwide area with high and medium suitability of both CPs and a movement of them away from the Equator, in 2100 more pronounced than in 2050. Most likely, heat and dry stress will be responsible for these changes. Heat and dry stress will greatly reduce and shift the future suitable cultivation area of common bean as well, in a similar manner. The most relevant findings of this study were the reduction of the suitable areas for the CPs, the reduction of the risk under future scenarios, and the similarity of trends for the CPs and host. The current results highlight the relation between and the coevolution of host and pathogens.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125087
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ New England, Sch Environm & Rural Sci, Ecosyst Management, Armidale, NSW 2351, Australia
2.INIFAP, Campo Expt Zacatecas, Km 24-5 Carretera Zacatecas Fresnillo, Calera De Vr 98500, Zacatecas, Mexico

Recommended Citation:
Ramirez-Cabral, Nadiezhda Yakovleva Zitz,Kumar, Lalit,Shabani, Farzin. Suitable areas of Phakopsora pachyrhizi, Spodoptera exigua, and their host plant Phaseolus vulgaris are projected to reduce and shift due to climate change[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,135(1-2):409-424
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