globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-018-2316-x
WOS记录号: WOS:000463783300007
论文题名:
Impacts of climate change on apple tree cultivation areas in Iran
作者: Ahmadi, Hamzeh; Ghalhari, Gholamabbas Fallah; Baaghideh, Mohammad
通讯作者: Ghalhari, Gholamabbas Fallah
刊名: CLIMATIC CHANGE
ISSN: 0165-0009
EISSN: 1573-1480
出版年: 2019
卷: 153, 期:1-2, 页码:91-103
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: WATER REQUIREMENT ; RICE ; TEMPERATURE ; SHIFTS ; CHINA
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Climate change is the most important challenge for human advance in the future. The horticultural sector is sensitive and vulnerable to climate change. In the present study, to reveal the climate change of the future period on the apple tree cultivation areas in Iran, the simulated data from the HadGEM2-ES coupled model output from the CMIP5 model series under RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios as cynical and optimistic scenarios. The results showed that the increase of air temperature under the conditions of climate change is a serious stress for the deciduous trees in cold regions of Iran because it will reduce the regions for cultivating trees like apples. Climate change and changes in temperature patterns will cause changes in agroclimatic indexes associated with fruit trees. Typically, the minimum and maximum temperature of the apple tree growth period during the baseline will change according to the pessimistic scenario from 11.6 and 27.3 degrees C to 16.7 and 33.4 degrees C in the 2090s. Changes in the temperature indices and agroclimatic indices are higher than the vulnerability threshold for apple trees, showing the effect of climate change on fruit trees. In the upcoming period, the suitable area for apple tree cultivation in Iran will reach 29,073,448ha. In fact, 46.7% of apple tree cultivation areas will be lost. Under the climate change conditions, the cultivation of apple trees in Iran will be extended to higher regions. An increase in air temperature will threaten deciduous trees in the cold regions of Iran.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125121
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Hakim Sabzevari Univ, Dept Climatol, Fac Geog & Environm Sci, Sabzevar, Iran

Recommended Citation:
Ahmadi, Hamzeh,Ghalhari, Gholamabbas Fallah,Baaghideh, Mohammad. Impacts of climate change on apple tree cultivation areas in Iran[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019-01-01,153(1-2):91-103
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