globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00704-018-2739-3
WOS记录号: WOS:000477054700041
论文题名:
Past and future changes in regional crop water requirements in Northwest China
作者: Song, Xiaoyan1; Song, Songbai1; Li, Zhi2; Liu, Wenbin3; Li, Jiuyi3; Kang, Yan1; Sun, Wenyi4
通讯作者: Song, Songbai ; Li, Zhi
刊名: THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN: 0177-798X
EISSN: 1434-4483
出版年: 2019
卷: 137, 期:3-4, 页码:2203-2215
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; BIAS CORRECTION ; MANN-KENDALL ; TRENDS ; TEMPERATURE ; RESOURCES ; PHENOLOGY ; IMPACTS ; TESTS ; BASIN
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Northwest China is characterized by a high water deficit and regular water resource shortages. These issues have become limiting factors for agricultural and socioeconomic development. Based on a trend-preserving method of bias correction, we calibrated the maximum temperature and minimum temperature in four CMIP5 GCMs (CNRM, IPSL, BCC, and CMCC). Then, we investigated variations in the regional crop water requirement (CWR) in the total growth stages for five main crops (cotton, spring corn, summer corn, spring wheat, and winter wheat) in the past (1961-2005) and future (2006-2100). The results suggest that the MK test yielded insignificant decreasing CWR trends in the total growth stages of cotton (0.10mm/year), spring corn (0.13mm/year), and spring wheat (0.05mm/year) and insignificant increasing trends for summer corn (0.02mm/year) and winter wheat (0.32mm/year) historically. In the future period, for the same type of crops (cotton), the CWRs in all scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5 scenarios) for all GCMs exhibited significant positive trends; for the same GCM (BCC), the CWRs projected for five major crops in the RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios all exhibited extremely significant MK trends (99%); in addition, the CWRs' rate increases of the five crops projected in RCP8.5 scenario by BCC exhibited the following order: winter wheat (1.25mm/year), summer corn (1.15mm/year), spring corn (1.02mm/year), cotton (0.97mm/year), and spring wheat (0.87mm/year). The maximum CWRs of winter wheat were mainly observed in southeastern Northwest China, while those of the other four crops occurred in southern Xinjiang.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125414
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Water Resources & Architectural Engn, Taicheng Rd 22, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
2.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
4.Northwest A&F Univ, Inst Soil & Water Conservat, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Song, Xiaoyan,Song, Songbai,Li, Zhi,et al. Past and future changes in regional crop water requirements in Northwest China[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2019-01-01,137(3-4):2203-2215
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