globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4346-5
WOS记录号: WOS:000463842700061
论文题名:
Extremes in the magnitude of annual temperature cycle on the Tibetan Plateau over the past three centuries
作者: Duan, Jianping1; Ma, Zhuguo1; Yuan, Naiming1; Li, Lun2; Chen, Liang1
通讯作者: Duan, Jianping
刊名: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
出版年: 2019
卷: 52, 期:5-6, 页码:3599-3608
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Tibetan Plateau ; Annual temperature cycle ; Extreme climate events ; Tree rings
WOS关键词: CHINA ; MOUNTAINS ; EVENTS ; TRENDS
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Weakening of annual temperature cycle (ATC) on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in the last decades has been identified, and there is a subsequent change in the frequency of the ATC magnitude extremes. These changes in the climate have a potential influence on biological and ecological systems. However, the frequency of occurrences of the ATC magnitude extremes in the recent decades compared to the preindustrial period, as well as the potential driving forces remains unclear. This can limit the robust predictions and risk assessments for extreme events of the ATC in the future. In this study, we analyzed the frequency of occurrence of the ATC magnitude extremes using both recent observations (1955-2011) and a tree-ring-based reconstruction covering the past three centuries over the TP. The results indicate that the ATC magnitude extremes in maximum obviously decrease and in minimum distinctly increase under climate warming, both for the instrumental period and the past three centuries. Moreover, the occurrence of the ATC magnitude extremes on the TP had a distinct regional characteristic and was mainly related to the winter temperature extremes triggered by the anomalous meridional gradient of geopotential height impelling cold air intrudes the TP. Although volcanic eruptions were expected to result in summer cooling and winter warming, and thus trigger the minimum ATC magnitude extremes, this effect only can be identified in event-specific eruptions (e.g., the 1835 Cosiguina eruption). Our study results provide an essential background for developing robust predictions and risk assessments for the ATC magnitude extremes on the TP.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125464
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作者单位: 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, CAS Key Lab Reg Climate Environm Temperate East A, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
2.Chinese Acad Meteorol Sci, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Duan, Jianping,Ma, Zhuguo,Yuan, Naiming,et al. Extremes in the magnitude of annual temperature cycle on the Tibetan Plateau over the past three centuries[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,52(5-6):3599-3608
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