globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s00382-018-4286-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000463842700010
论文题名:
Does global warming amplify interannual climate variability?
作者: He, Chao1,2; Li, Tim2,3,4
通讯作者: Li, Tim
刊名: CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN: 0930-7575
EISSN: 1432-0894
出版年: 2019
卷: 52, 期:5-6, 页码:2667-2684
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Global warming ; Interannual variability ; Precipitation ; Vertical velocity
WOS关键词: WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC ; ASIAN SUMMER MONSOON ; TROPICAL PACIFIC ; PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY ; SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONES ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; FUTURE CHANGES ; EL-NINO ; PART I ; CIRCULATION
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Based on the outputs of 30 models from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), the fractional changes in the amplitude interannual variability (sigma) for precipitation (P) and vertical velocity () are assessed, and simple theoretical models are constructed to quantitatively understand the changes in sigma(P) and sigma(). Both RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 scenarios show similar results in term of the fractional change per degree of warming, with slightly lower inter-model uncertainty under RCP8.5. Based on the multi-model median, sigma(P) generally increases but sigma() generally decreases under global warming but both are characterized by non-uniform spatial patterns. The sigma(P) decrease over subtropical subsidence regions but increase elsewhere, with a regional averaged value of 1.4%K-1 over 20 degrees S-50 degrees N under RCP8.5. Diagnoses show that the mechanisms for the change in sigma(P) are different for climatological ascending and descending regions. Over ascending regions, the increase of mean state specific humidity contributes to a general increase of sigma(P) but the change of sigma() dominates its spatial pattern and inter-model uncertainty. But over descending regions, the change of sigma(P) and its inter-model uncertainty are constrained by the change of mean state precipitation. The sigma() is projected to be weakened almost everywhere except over equatorial Pacific, with a regional averaged fractional change of -3.4%K-1 at 500hPa. The overall reduction of sigma() results from the increased mean state static stability, while the substantially increased sigma() at the mid-upper troposphere over equatorial Pacific and the inter-model uncertainty of the changes in sigma() are dominated by the change in the interannual variability of diabatic heating.


Citation statistics:
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125467
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

Files in This Item:

There are no files associated with this item.


作者单位: 1.Jinan Univ, Inst Environm & Climate Res, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China
2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Minist Educ, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
3.Univ Hawaii, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
4.Univ Hawaii, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA

Recommended Citation:
He, Chao,Li, Tim. Does global warming amplify interannual climate variability?[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019-01-01,52(5-6):2667-2684
Service
Recommend this item
Sava as my favorate item
Show this item's statistics
Export Endnote File
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[He, Chao]'s Articles
[Li, Tim]'s Articles
百度学术
Similar articles in Baidu Scholar
[He, Chao]'s Articles
[Li, Tim]'s Articles
CSDL cross search
Similar articles in CSDL Cross Search
[He, Chao]‘s Articles
[Li, Tim]‘s Articles
Related Copyright Policies
Null
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

Items in IR are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.