globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10113-018-1396-5
WOS记录号: WOS:000457941000016
论文题名:
Response of the river discharge in the Tocantins River Basin, Brazil, to environmental changes and the associated effects on the energy potential
作者: Silva Von Randow, Rita Cassia1; Rodriguez, Daniel Andres2; Tomasella, Javier3; Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula1,4; Kruijt, Bart5; Kabat, Pavel6
通讯作者: Silva Von Randow, Rita Cassia
刊名: REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE
ISSN: 1436-3798
EISSN: 1436-378X
出版年: 2019
卷: 19, 期:1, 页码:193-204
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Hydrological modeling ; Climate change ; Land use and land cover change ; Secondary forest ; Hydropower potential
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS ; FLOW-DURATION CURVES ; CENTER COUPLED MODEL ; WATER-RESOURCES ; LAND-COVER ; GLOBAL OPTIMIZATION ; CHANGE PROJECTIONS ; AMAZON BASIN ; DEFORESTATION ; UNCERTAINTY
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Climate change is expected to impact the hydrological regime worldwide, and land use and land cover change may alter the effects of the former in some cases. Secondary growth in deforested and abandoned areas is one of the main consequences of land use and cover changes in Amazonia. Among land uses, the effects of the secondary growth in water availability in large scale basins are not well understood. This work analyzes the potential effects of secondary growth under climate and land use change on water availability and hydropower in the Tocantins basin, in the Legal Amazon region of Brazil, using the MHD-INPE hydrological model driven by different climate scenarios and two future socioeconomic-based potential land use scenarios. The model projects decrease on discharge under climate change scenarios, which further cause the simulated hydropower energy potential to decrease significantly. When only deforestation scenarios are included, the effects of climate change are weakened, but when secondary growth is also considered, the effects of climate change are enhanced. Results suggest that different aspects of environmental change, such as secondary growth, may affect water production and the sectors depending on it.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:21   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/125751
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Natl Inst Space Res INPE, Earth Syst Sci Ctr CCST, Av Astronautas 1758, BR-12227010 Sao Jose Dos Campos, SP, Brazil
2.Univ Fed Rio De Janeiro UFRJ, Inst Alberto Luiz Coimbra Posgrad & Pesquisa Engn, Rio De Janeiro, Brazil
3.Ctr Monitoramento & Alertas Desastres Nat, CEMADEN, Cachoeira Paulista, SP, Brazil
4.Stockholm Univ, Stockholm Resilience Ctr, Stockholm, Sweden
5.Wageningen Univ, Water Syst & Global Change, Wageningen, Netherlands
6.IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria

Recommended Citation:
Silva Von Randow, Rita Cassia,Rodriguez, Daniel Andres,Tomasella, Javier,et al. Response of the river discharge in the Tocantins River Basin, Brazil, to environmental changes and the associated effects on the energy potential[J]. REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE,2019-01-01,19(1):193-204
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