globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.15666/aeer/1704_95159528
WOS记录号: WOS:000478066700160
论文题名:
EFFECT OF METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS ON RESPIRATORY SYSTEM DISEASES IN FUNAN, CHINA
作者: Zhao, X. Y.1; Zhang, Y.1; Fan, G. C.2; Li, Y. P.3; Yin, Ch Y.1; Chen, J. Y.4
通讯作者: Chen, J. Y.
刊名: APPLIED ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH
ISSN: 1589-1623
EISSN: 1785-0037
出版年: 2019
卷: 17, 期:4, 页码:9515-9528
语种: 英语
英文关键词: temperature ; relative humidity ; respiratory system diseases ; generalized addictive model ; distributed lag nonlinear models
WOS关键词: AIR-POLLUTION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; TIME-SERIES ; HEAT WAVES ; MORTALITY ; TEMPERATURE ; IMPACT ; COLD
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

To explore meteorological and environmental impacts on human health, a distributed lag non-linear model and a generalized additive model were employed to study the exposure-response relationship between meteorological factors and respiratory system diseases from 2013 to 2016 in Funan, China The results showed that the decline in patient numbers occurs in the high temperature seasons. At a short time lag, high temperature is a risk factor, but high temperature reduces the number of patients with respiratory system disease at long time lags. Low relative humidity (RH) increases the risk of respiratory system diseases, and largescale 48-hour temperature changes (Delta T48) increase the risk of disease for a whole range of lags. There is a remarkable correlation between morbidity and meteorological factors, with temperature minima corresponding to peaks in the number of patients. For low RH, the lag effect is obvious for the first 4 days; for higher RH, the effect is weak. A back-propagation artificial neural network model constructed in this study was capable of effectively predicting respiratory system disease, using average temperature, Delta T48, RH, and maximum wind speed as inputs.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126384
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Peoples Liberat Army, Gen Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Lanzhou Publ Secur Bur, News Off, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China
3.Zhengzhou Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Neurol, Zhengzhou, Henan, Peoples R China
4.Cent Mil Commiss, Logist Support Dept, Hlth Bur, Beijing, Peoples R China

Recommended Citation:
Zhao, X. Y.,Zhang, Y.,Fan, G. C.,et al. EFFECT OF METEOROLOGICAL FACTORS ON RESPIRATORY SYSTEM DISEASES IN FUNAN, CHINA[J]. APPLIED ECOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH,2019-01-01,17(4):9515-9528
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