globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s10980-018-0743-8
WOS记录号: WOS:000458986300004
论文题名:
Mapping ecoregions under climate change: a case study from the biological "crossroads' of three continents, Turkey
作者: Erguner, Yasemin1,3; Kumar, Jitendra2,5; Hoffman, Forrest M.1,6; Dalfes, H. Nuzhet3; Hargrove, William W.4
通讯作者: Erguner, Yasemin
刊名: LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY
ISSN: 0921-2973
EISSN: 1572-9761
出版年: 2019
卷: 34, 期:1, 页码:35-50
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Biodiversity conservation ; Climate change ; Ecoregions ; Ecological observatory network ; Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Clustering ; Regional climate modelling
WOS关键词: BIODIVERSITY ; ZONES ; DELINEATION ; PATTERNS ; LIFE ; MAP
WOS学科分类: Ecology ; Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Physical Geography ; Geology
英文摘要:

ContextBesides climate change vulnerability, most ecosystems are under threat from a history of improper land-use and conservation policies, yet there is little existing long-term ecological research infrastructure in Turkey. In regions with no ecological networks across large landscapes, ecoregion concept offers opportunities for characterizing thelandscape under changing climate.ObjectivesAim is to develop contemporary and future quantitative ecoregions for Turkey based on climate model outputs, to identify climate change-sensitive areas of biodiversity and conservation significance, and to provide a framework for a comprehensive ecological observatory network design.MethodsUsing Multivariate Spatio-Temporal Clustering and climate data contemporary and projected future distributions of Turkey's ecoregions are delineated at several division levels.ResultsTurkey's contemporary ecoregions generally show a northward shift by the end of this century and the lengthening of the growing season across thecountry, especially eastward and northward. The increase in growing season length, along with the shift in precipitation seasonality and increasing growing season precipitation, shape future conditions within the climate change-sensitive areas. Apart from transboundary ecological and socioeconomic significance, these potentially vulnerable ecosystems also constitute the majority of Turkey's biodiversity hotspots.ConclusionsOur study marks the first ecoregionalization' study for Turkey based on both contemporary and future climate scenarios. For countries like Turkey, where large-scale ecological networks have not been established, using such quantitative methodology for delineation of optimal ecoclimatic regions, and for mapping environments at risk from climate change provides an invaluable perspective for conservation planning strategies, and a framework for a comprehensive ecological observatory network design.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/126826
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.ORNL, Computat Earth Sci Grp, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN 37831 USA
2.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Environm Sci Div, Terr Syst Modeling Grp, Oak Ridge, TN USA
3.Istanbul Tech Univ, Eurasia Inst Earth Sci, TR-34469 Istanbul, Turkey
4.US Forest Serv, Southern Res Stn, Eastern Forest Environm Threat Assessment Ctr, USDA, 200 WT Weaver Blvd, Asheville, NC 28804 USA
5.Univ Tennessee, Bredesen Ctr Interdisciplinary Res, Knoxville, TN USA
6.Univ Tennessee, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Knoxville, TN 37996 USA

Recommended Citation:
Erguner, Yasemin,Kumar, Jitendra,Hoffman, Forrest M.,et al. Mapping ecoregions under climate change: a case study from the biological "crossroads' of three continents, Turkey[J]. LANDSCAPE ECOLOGY,2019-01-01,34(1):35-50
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