globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.3390/agronomy9010031
WOS记录号: WOS:000457136600030
论文题名:
Prospects of Forage Production in Northern Regions under Climate and Land-Use Changes: A Case-Study of a Dairy Farm in Newfoundland, Canada
作者: Cordeiro, Marcos R. C.1; Rotz, Alan2; Kroebel, Roland1; Beauchemin, Karen A.1; Hunt, Derek3; Bittman, Shabtai3; Koenig, Karen M.1; McKenzie, David B.4
通讯作者: Bittman, Shabtai
刊名: AGRONOMY-BASEL
ISSN: 2073-4395
出版年: 2019
卷: 9, 期:1
语种: 英语
英文关键词: grass-legume ; corn silage ; yield ; production ; dairy farm ; integrated farm system model
WOS关键词: GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; CROP PRODUCTION ; AGRICULTURE ; TEMPERATURE ; TRENDS ; IMPACT ; PRECIPITATION ; EFFICIENCY ; SCENARIOS ; MIXTURE
WOS学科分类: Agronomy ; Plant Sciences
WOS研究方向: Agriculture ; Plant Sciences
英文摘要:

Forage production in northern latitudes is challenging and uncertain in the future. In this case-study, the integrated farm system model (IFSM) was used to assess the impact of climate change and cropland expansion scenarios on forage production in a dairy farm in Newfoundland, Canada. Climatic projections indicated increases in temperature in the recent past (1990-2016) and under any future climate (2020-2079), thus enhancing agronomic performance. Temperature increases ranged from 2.8 degrees C to 5.4 degrees C in winter and from 3.2 degrees C to 6.4 degrees C in spring. Small precipitation increases (<10%) create narrower time windows to perform farm operations in the already stringent condition of excess moisture in the region. Results of land use scenarios including expansions of 20, 30, and 40% in cropland area, out of which 5% was dedicated to corn silage and the remainder to grass-legume mixtures, indicated increased yield and total production. Improvements in grass-legume yield ranged from 8% to 52%. The full range of production increases ranged from 11% to 105%. Increments in corn silage yield ranged from 28% to 69%. Total farm corn silage production increases ranged from 29% to 77%. An attainable cropland expansion of 20% would enable the farm to become self-sufficient in forage production under any climate scenario.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127010
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Agr & Agri Food Canada, Lethbridge Res & Dev Ctr, Lethbridge, AB T1J 4B1, Canada
2.USDA ARS, Pasture Syst & Watershed Management Res Unit, Bldg 3702,Curtin Rd, State Coll, PA 16802 USA
3.Agr & Agri Food Canada, Pacific Agrifood Res Ctr, Agassiz, BC V0M 1A0, Canada
4.Agr & Agri Food Canada, St Johns Res & Dev Ctr, 308 Brookfield Rd,Bldg 25, St John, NF A1E 0B2, Canada

Recommended Citation:
Cordeiro, Marcos R. C.,Rotz, Alan,Kroebel, Roland,et al. Prospects of Forage Production in Northern Regions under Climate and Land-Use Changes: A Case-Study of a Dairy Farm in Newfoundland, Canada[J]. AGRONOMY-BASEL,2019-01-01,9(1)
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