globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091
WOS记录号: WOS:000456351800093
论文题名:
Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges
作者: Sugiyama, Masahiro1; Fujimori, Shinichiro2,3; Wada, Kenichi4; Endo, Seiya5; Fujii, Yasumasa6; Komiyama, Ryoichi6; Kato, Etsushi7; Kurosawa, Atsushi7; Matsuo, Yuhji5; Oshiro, Ken8; Sano, Fuminori4; Shiraki, Hiroto9
通讯作者: Sugiyama, Masahiro
刊名: ENERGY
ISSN: 0360-5442
EISSN: 1873-6785
出版年: 2019
卷: 167, 页码:1120-1131
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Climate change mitigation ; Model intercomparison project ; Sectoral mitigation ; Energy scenarios
WOS关键词: CO2 EMISSION REDUCTION ; ENERGY DEMAND ; DECARBONIZATION ; TRANSPORT ; SCENARIOS ; PATHWAYS ; POWER
WOS学科分类: Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS研究方向: Thermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
英文摘要:

Japan is the sixth largest greenhouse gas emitter in 2016 and plays an important role to attain the long-term climate goals of the Paris Agreement. One of the key policy issues in Japan's energy and environmental policy arena is the energy system transition to achieve 80% emissions reduction in 2050, a current policy goal set in 2016. To contribute to the ongoing policy debate, this paper focuses on energy-related CO2 emissions and analyzes such decarbonization scenarios that are consistent with the government goals. We employ six energy-economic and integrated assessment models to reveal decarbonization challenges in the energy system. The modeling results show that Japan's mitigation scenarios are characterized by high marginal costs of abatement. They also suggest that the industrial sector is likely to have a large final energy share and significant residual emissions under the 80% reduction scenario, though it is generally thought that the transport sector would have large decarbonization challenges. The present findings imply that not only energy policy but also industrial policy may be relevant to the long-term environmental target. Given the high marginal costs exceeding those of negative emissions technologies that could place a cost ceiling, further model development would be crucial. (C) 2018 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/127958
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作者单位: 1.Univ Tokyo, Policy Alternat Res Inst, Bunkyo Ku, 7-3-1 Hongo, Tokyo 1130033, Japan
2.Kyoto Univ, Dept Environm Engn, Kyoto, Japan
3.Natl Inst Environm Studies, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan
4.Res Inst Innovat Technol Earth, Kizugawa, Japan
5.Inst Energy Econ, Tokyo, Japan
6.Univ Tokyo, Sch Engn, Tokyo, Japan
7.Inst Appl Energy, Tokyo, Japan
8.Mizuho Informat & Res Inst Inc, Tokyo, Japan
9.Univ Shiga Prefecture, Sch Environm Sci, Hikone, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Sugiyama, Masahiro,Fujimori, Shinichiro,Wada, Kenichi,et al. Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges[J]. ENERGY,2019-01-01,167:1120-1131
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