globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1811022116
WOS记录号: WOS:000456336100006
论文题名:
Mission-driven research for stratospheric aerosol geoengineering
作者: MacMartin, Douglas G.1,2; Kravitz, Ben3,4
通讯作者: MacMartin, Douglas G.
刊名: PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
ISSN: 0027-8424
出版年: 2019
卷: 116, 期:4, 页码:1089-1094
语种: 英语
英文关键词: geoengineering ; climate engineering ; governance ; solar radiation management ; SRM
WOS关键词: CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NEED ; GOVERNANCE
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

The last decade has seen broad exploratory research into stratospheric aerosol (SA) geoengineering, motivated by concern that reducing greenhouse gas emissions may be insufficient to avoid significant impacts from climate change. Based on this research, it is plausible that a limited deployment of SA geoengineering, provided it is used in addition to cutting emissions, could reduce many climate risks for most people. However, "plausible" is an insufficient basis on which to support future decisions. Developing the necessary knowledge requires a transition toward mission-driven research that has the explicit goal of supporting informed decisions. We highlight two important observations that follow from considering such a comprehensive, prioritized natural-science research effort. First, while field experiments may eventually be needed to reduce some of the uncertainties, we expect that the next phase of research will continue to be primarily model-based, with one outcome being to assess and prioritize which uncertainties need to be reduced (and, as a corollary, which field experiments can reduce those uncertainties). Second, we anticipate a clear separation in scale and character between small-scale experimental research to resolve specific process uncertainties and global-scale activities. We argue that the latter, even if the radiative forcing is negligible, should more appropriately be considered after a decision regarding whether and how to deploy SA geoengineering, rather than within the scope of "research" activities.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128128
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Cornell Univ, Sibley Sch Mech & Aerosp Engn, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA
2.CALTECH, Dept Comp & Math Sci, Pasadena, CA 91125 USA
3.Pacific Northwest Natl Lab, Atmospher Sci & Global Change Div, Richland, WA 99352 USA
4.Indiana Univ, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Bloomington, IN 47405 USA

Recommended Citation:
MacMartin, Douglas G.,Kravitz, Ben. Mission-driven research for stratospheric aerosol geoengineering[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,2019-01-01,116(4):1089-1094
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