globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1007/s12053-018-9682-0
WOS记录号: WOS:000458037500006
论文题名:
The transition in energy demand sectors to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C
作者: Mejean, Aurelie1,2; Guivarch, Celine1,3; Lefevre, Julien1,4; Hamdi-Cherif, Meriem1,5
通讯作者: Mejean, Aurelie
刊名: ENERGY EFFICIENCY
ISSN: 1570-646X
EISSN: 1570-6478
出版年: 2019
卷: 12, 期:2, 页码:441-462
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Global integrated assessment model ; Dynamics of sectoral CO2 emissions ; Energy demand patterns ; Peak of global emissions ; Scenario feasibility ; 1.5 degrees C
WOS关键词: EFFICIENCY ; POLICIES ; TECHNOLOGIES ; DIFFUSION
WOS学科分类: Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Achieving an emission pathway that would be compatible with limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5 degrees C compared with pre-industrial levels would require unprecedented changes in the economy and energy use and supply. This paper describes how such a transition may impact the dynamics of sectoral emissions. We compare contrasted global scenarios in terms of the date of emission peaks, energy efficiency, availability of low-carbon energy technologies, and fossil fuels, using the global integrated assessment model IMACLIM-R. The results suggest that it is impossible to delay the peak of global emissions until 2030 while remaining on a path compatible with the 1.5 degrees C objective. We show that stringent policies in energy-demand sectorsindustry and transportation especiallyare needed in the short run to trigger an immediate peak of global emissions and increase the probability to meet the 1.5 degrees C objective. Such sector-specific policies would contribute to lowering energy demand and would reduce the level of the carbon price required to reach the same temperature objective. Bringing forward the peak of global emissions does not lead to a homothetic adjustment of all sectoral emission pathways: an early peak of global emissions implies the fast decarbonization of the electricity sector and early emission reductions in energy-demand sectorsmainly industry and transportation.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128317
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.CIRED, 45 Bis Ave Belle Gabrielle, F-94736 Nogent Sur Marne, France
2.CNRS, UMR 8568, F-94736 Nogent Sur Marne, France
3.Ecole Ponts ParisTech, 6-8 Ave Blaise Pascal, F-77455 Champs Sur Marne, Marnela Vallee, France
4.AgroParisTech, 16 Rue Claude Bernard, F-75005 Paris, France
5.SMASH, 45 Bis Ave Belle Gabrielle, F-94736 Nogent Sur Marne, France

Recommended Citation:
Mejean, Aurelie,Guivarch, Celine,Lefevre, Julien,et al. The transition in energy demand sectors to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees C[J]. ENERGY EFFICIENCY,2019-01-01,12(2):441-462
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