globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.2151/jmsj.2019-003
WOS记录号: WOS:000460604900005
论文题名:
Dynamical Downscaling of Typhoon Lionrock (2016) for Assessing the Resulting Hazards under Global Warming
作者: Nayak, Sridhara; Takemi, Tetsuya
通讯作者: Nayak, Sridhara
刊名: JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN
ISSN: 0026-1165
EISSN: 2186-9057
出版年: 2019
卷: 97, 期:1, 页码:69-88
语种: 英语
英文关键词: impact assessment ; dynamical downscaling ; pseudo global warming experiment ; typhoon ; typhoon hazard
WOS关键词: TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY ; FUTURE CHANGES ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LANDFALLING TYPHOONS ; IMPACT ASSESSMENT ; NORTH PACIFIC ; INTENSIFICATION ; SIMULATIONS ; JAPAN ; PRECIPITATION
WOS学科分类: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Typhoons are considered as one of the most powerful disaster-spawning weather phenomena. Recent studies have revealed that typhoons will be stronger and more powerful in a future warmer climate and be a threat to lives and properties. In this study, we conduct downscaling experiments of an extreme rain-producing typhoon, Typhoon Lionrock (2016), to assess the impacts of climate change on resulting hazards by assuming pseudo global warming (PGW) conditions. The downscaled precipitations over the landfall region in the present climate condition agree well with the Radar-Automated Meteorological Data Acquisition System (Radar-AMeDAS) observations. A typhoon track in the future climate similar to that in the present climate is successfully reproduced, with a stronger wind speed (by similar to 20 knots) and lower central pressure (by similar to 20 hPa) under the PGW condition. The changes in precipitation amounts associated with the typhoon under PGW condition are analyzed over seven individual prefectures in the northern part of Japan. The typhoon in the warming climate produces more precipitation over all prefectures. Iwate, Aomori, Akita, Miyagi, and Hokkaido are projected to have relatively more precipitation associated with the typhoon in the warming climate. The overall analysis suggests that Typhoon Lionrock under PGW may increase the risk of flooding, damages to infrastructures, and lives staying along the typhoon track.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/128336
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: Kyoto Univ, Disaster Prevent Res Inst, Uji, Kyoto 6110011, Japan

Recommended Citation:
Nayak, Sridhara,Takemi, Tetsuya. Dynamical Downscaling of Typhoon Lionrock (2016) for Assessing the Resulting Hazards under Global Warming[J]. JOURNAL OF THE METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY OF JAPAN,2019-01-01,97(1):69-88
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