The influence of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the north Indian temperature, precipitation, and potential evapotranspiration (PET) change patterns were evaluated during the monsoon season across the last century. Trends and shifts in 146 districts were assessed using nonparametric statistical tests. To quantify their temporal variation, the concept of apportionment entropy was applied to both the annual and seasonal scales. Results suggest that the El Nino years played a greater role in causing hydro-climatological changes compared to the La Nina or neutral years. El Nino was more influential in causing shifts compared to trends. For certain districts, a phase change in ENSO reversed the trend/shift direction. The century-wide analysis suggested that the vast majority of the districts experienced significant decreasing trends/shifts in temperature and PET. However, precipitation experienced both increasing and decreasing trends/shifts based on the location of the districts. Entropy results suggested a lower apportionment of precipitation compared to the other variables, indicating an intermittent deviation of precipitation pattern from the generic trend. The findings may help understand the effects of ENSO on the hydro-climatological variables during the monsoon season. Practitioners may find the results useful as monsoon is the most important season for India causing climate extremes.
1.Univ Nevada, Dept Civil & Environm Engn & Construct, 4505 S Maryland Pkwy, Las Vegas, NV 89154 USA 2.Southern Illinois Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 1230 Lincoln Dr, Carbondale, IL 62901 USA 3.Univ Wisconsin, Atmospher & Ocean Studies, Madison, WI 53706 USA
Recommended Citation:
Tamaddun, Kazi Ali,Kalra, Ajay,Bernardez, Miguel,et al. Effects of ENSO on Temperature, Precipitation, and Potential Evapotranspiration of North India's Monsoon: An Analysis of Trend and Entropy[J]. WATER,2019-01-01,11(2)