globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.18564/jasss.3906
WOS记录号: WOS:000457436100007
论文题名:
A Dynamic Sustainability Analysis of Energy Landscapes in Egypt: A Spatial Agent-Based Model Combined with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis
作者: Shaaban, Mostafa1; Scheffran, Juergen1,2; Boehner, Juergen2; Elsobki, Mohamed S.3
通讯作者: Shaaban, Mostafa
刊名: JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION
ISSN: 1460-7425
出版年: 2019
卷: 22, 期:1
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Energy Security ; Energy Landscape ; Egypt ; Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis ; Agent-Based Modeling ; Geographic Information System
WOS学科分类: Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Social Sciences - Other Topics
英文摘要:

To respond to the emerging challenge of climate change, feasible strategies need to be formulated towards sustainable development and energy security on a national and international level. Lacking a dynamic sustainability assessment of technologies for electricity planning, this paper fills the gap with a multi-criteria and multi-stakeholder evaluation in an integrated assessment of energy systems. This allows to select the most preferred strategies for future planning of energy security in Egypt, with a focus on alternative energy pathways and a sustainable electricity supply mix up to 2100. A novel prototype model is used to integrate multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) as a premium decision support approach with agent-based modeling (ABM). This tool is popular in analyzing dynamic complex systems. A GIS-based spatial ABM analyzes future pathways for energy security in Egypt, depending on the preferences of agents for selected criteria to facilitate the transformation of energy landscapes. The study reveals significant temporal variations in the spatial ranking of technologies between actors in the energy sector over this period. We conclude that in order to attain a sustainable energy landscape, we should involve relevant stakeholders and analyze their interactions while considering local spatial conditions and key dimensions of sustainable development.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129252
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Univ Hamburg, Ctr Earth Syst Res & Sustainabil CEN, Grindelberg 5-7, D-20144 Hamburg, Germany
2.Univ Hamburg, Inst Geog, Bundesstr 55, D-20146 Hamburg, Germany
3.Cairo Univ, Gamaet El Qahera St, Giza 12613, Egypt

Recommended Citation:
Shaaban, Mostafa,Scheffran, Juergen,Boehner, Juergen,et al. A Dynamic Sustainability Analysis of Energy Landscapes in Egypt: A Spatial Agent-Based Model Combined with Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis[J]. JASSS-THE JOURNAL OF ARTIFICIAL SOCIETIES AND SOCIAL SIMULATION,2019-01-01,22(1)
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