globalchange  > 气候减缓与适应
DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.151
WOS记录号: WOS:000447092700146
论文题名:
Projections of water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under future climate change in an alpine tundra ecosystem in the southern Rocky Mountains using a biogeochemical model
作者: Dong, Zheng1; Driscoll, Charles T.1; Campbell, John L.2; Pourmokhtarian, Afshin3; Stoner, Anne M. K.4; Hayhoe, Katharine4
通讯作者: Dong, Zheng
刊名: SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN: 0048-9697
EISSN: 1879-1026
出版年: 2019
卷: 650, 页码:1451-1464
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Alpine tundra ; Budyko curve ; Carbon ; Nitrogen ; Biogeochemical modeling ; Representative concentration pathways
WOS关键词: NORTHERN HARDWOOD FOREST ; ELEVATED CO2 ; CALCAREOUS GRASSLAND ; VEGETATION CHANGE ; PLANT BIOMASS ; ALASKAN TUNDRA ; CHEMICAL-COMPOSITION ; SNOW SUBLIMATION ; ATMOSPHERIC CO2 ; PNET-BGC
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology
英文摘要:

Using statistically downscaled future climate scenarios and a version of the biogeochemical model (PnET-BGC) that was modified for use in the alpine tundra, we investigated changes in water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under the Representative Concentration Pathways at Niwot Ridge in Colorado, USA. Our simulations indicate that future hydrology will become more water-limited over the short-term due to the temperature-induced increases in leaf conductance, but remains energy-limited over the longer term because of anticipated future decreases in leaf area and increases in annual precipitation. The seasonal distribution of the water supply will become decoupled from energy inputs due to advanced snowmelt, causing soil moisture stress to plants during the growing season. Decreases in summer soil moisture are projected to not only affect leaf production, but also reduce decomposition of soil organic matter in summer despite increasing temperature. Advanced future snowmelt in spring and increasing rain to snow ratio in fall are projected to increase soil moisture and decomposition of soil organic matter. The extended growing season is projected to increase carbon sequestration by 2% under the high radiative forcing scenario, despite a 31% reduction in leaf display due to the soil moisture stress. Our analyses demonstrate that future nitrogen uptake by alpine plants is regulated by nitrogen supply from mineralization, but plant nitrogen demand may also affect plant uptake under the warmer scenario. PnET-BGC simulations also suggest that potential CO2 effects on alpine plants are projected to cause larger increases in plant carbon storage than leaf and root production. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/129760
Appears in Collections:气候减缓与适应

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作者单位: 1.Syracuse Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Syracuse, NY 13244 USA
2.US Forest Serv, Northern Res Stn, Durham, NH 03824 USA
3.Wentworth Inst Technol, Dept Construct Management, Boston, MA 02115 USA
4.Texas Tech Univ, Climate Sci Ctr, Lubbock, TX 79409 USA

Recommended Citation:
Dong, Zheng,Driscoll, Charles T.,Campbell, John L.,et al. Projections of water, carbon, and nitrogen dynamics under future climate change in an alpine tundra ecosystem in the southern Rocky Mountains using a biogeochemical model[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019-01-01,650:1451-1464
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