globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0212790
WOS记录号: WOS:000460371500039
论文题名:
Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman
作者: Noori, Roohollah1,2; Tian, Fuqiang2; Berndtsson, Ronny3,4; Abbasi, Mahmud Reza5; Naseh, Mohammadreza Vesali6; Modabberi, Anahita1; Soltani, Ali1; Klove, Bjorn7
通讯作者: Noori, Roohollah
刊名: PLOS ONE
ISSN: 1932-6203
出版年: 2019
卷: 14, 期:2
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: PROPER ORTHOGONAL DECOMPOSITION ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; INDIAN-OCEAN ; VARIABILITY ; MODEL ; PRECIPITATION ; CIRCULATION ; SIMULATION ; SCENARIOS
WOS学科分类: Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向: Science & Technology - Other Topics
英文摘要:

Climate change's effect on sea surface temperature (SST) at the regional scale vary due to driving forces that include potential changes in ocean circulation and internal climate variability, ice cover, thermal stability, and ocean mixing layer depth. For a better understanding of future effects, it is important to analyze historical changes in SST at regional scales and test prediction techniques. In this study, the variation in SST across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman (PG&GO) during the past four decades was analyzed and predicted to the end of 21 st century using a proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) model. As input, daily optimum interpolation SST anomaly (DOISSTA) data, available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States, were used. Descriptive analyses and POD results demonstrated a gradually increasing trend in DOISSTA in the PG&GO over the past four decades. The spatial distribution of DOISSTA indicated: (1) that shallow parts of the Persian Gulf have experienced minimum and maximum values of DOISSTA and (2) high variability in DOISSTA in shallow parts of the Persian Gulf, including some parts of southern and northwestern coasts. Prediction of future SST using the POD model revealed the highest warming during summer in the entire PG&GO by 2100 and the lowest warming during fall and winter in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman, respectively. The model indicated that monthly SST in the Persian Gulf may increase by up to 4.3 degrees C in August by the turn of the century. Similarly, mean annual changes in SST across the PG&GO may increase by about 2.2 degrees C by 2100.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130290
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ Tehran, Sch Environm, Coll Engn, Tehran, Iran
2.Tsinghua Univ, Dept Hydraul Engn, State Key Lab Hydrosci & Engn, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Lund Univ, Dept Water Resources Engn, Lund, Sweden
4.Lund Univ, Ctr Middle Eastern Studies, Lund, Sweden
5.Natl Inst Oceanog & Atmospher Sci, Tehran, Iran
6.Arak Univ, Dept Civil Engn, Fac Engn, Arak, Iran
7.Univ Oulu, Fac Technol, Water Resources & Environm Engn Res Unit, Oulu, Finland

Recommended Citation:
Noori, Roohollah,Tian, Fuqiang,Berndtsson, Ronny,et al. Recent and future trends in sea surface temperature across the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman[J]. PLOS ONE,2019-01-01,14(2)
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