globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-019-0419-7
WOS记录号: WOS:000459579300016
论文题名:
Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies
作者: Le Quere, Corinne1; Korsbakken, Jan Ivar2; Wilson, Charlie1,3; Tosun, Jale4,5; Andrew, Robbie2; Andres, Robert J.6; Canadell, Josep G.7; Jordan, Andrew1; Peters, Glen P.2; van Vuuren, Detlef P.8,9
通讯作者: Le Quere, Corinne
刊名: NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE
ISSN: 1758-678X
EISSN: 1758-6798
出版年: 2019
卷: 9, 期:3, 页码:213-+
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; CLIMATE ; POLICY ; US
WOS学科分类: Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向: Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
英文摘要:

Global emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) from fossil fuels and industry increased by 2.2% per year on average between 2005 and 2015(1). Global emissions need to peak and decline rapidly to limit climate change to well below 2 degrees C of warming(2,3), which is one of the goals of the Paris Agreement(4). Untangling the reasons underlying recent changes in emissions trajectories is critical to guide efforts to attain those goals. Here we analyse the drivers of decreasing CO2 emissions in a group of 18 developed economies that have decarbonized over the period 2005-2015. We show that within this group, the displacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy and decreases in energy use explain decreasing CO2 emissions. However, the decrease in energy use can be explained at least in part by a lower growth in gross domestic product. Correlation analysis suggests that policies on renewable energy are supporting emissions reductions and displacing fossil fuels in these 18 countries, but not elsewhere, and that policies on energy efficiency are supporting lower energy use in these 18 countries, as well as more widely. Overall, the evidence shows that efforts to reduce emissions are underway in many countries, but these efforts need to be maintained and enhanced by more stringent policy actions to support a global peak in emissions followed by global emissions reductions in line with the goals of the Paris Agreement(3).


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130335
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Univ East Anglia, Sch Environm Sci, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich, Norfolk, England
2.CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, Oslo, Norway
3.IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria
4.Heidelberg Univ, Inst Polit Sci, Heidelberg, Germany
5.Heidelberg Univ, Heidelberg Ctr Environm, Heidelberg, Germany
6.Oak Ridge Natl Lab, Climate Change Sci Inst, Oak Ridge, TN USA
7.CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Global Carbon Project, Canberra, ACT, Australia
8.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, The Hague, Netherlands
9.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Utrecht, Netherlands

Recommended Citation:
Le Quere, Corinne,Korsbakken, Jan Ivar,Wilson, Charlie,et al. Drivers of declining CO2 emissions in 18 developed economies[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019-01-01,9(3):213-+
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