globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2018.11.010
WOS记录号: WOS:000458227000002
论文题名:
Diffusion of hurricane evacuation behavior through a home-workplace social network: A spatially explicit agent-based simulation model
作者: Yang, Yan1,3; Mao, Liang2; Metcalf, Sara S.1
通讯作者: Metcalf, Sara S.
刊名: COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS
ISSN: 0198-9715
EISSN: 1873-7587
出版年: 2019
卷: 74, 页码:13-22
语种: 英语
英文关键词: Agent-based modeling ; Social network ; Geographic information science ; Hurricane evacuation ; Florida Keys
WOS关键词: FRAMEWORK ; DYNAMICS ; URBAN
WOS学科分类: Computer Science, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Engineering, Environmental ; Environmental Studies ; Geography ; Operations Research & Management Science ; Regional & Urban Planning
WOS研究方向: Computer Science ; Engineering ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography ; Operations Research & Management Science ; Public Administration
英文摘要:

With coastal populations experiencing the growing threat of hurricanes as a consequence of global climate change, models for predicting how household evacuation behavior may diffuse over time and space are needed for emergency management. This study models the effects of social influence on household evacuation behavior in anticipation of a hurricane event. An agent-based model was developed in this study to simulate: 1) a home workplace social network between households residing in the Florida Keys, 2) the communication of a hurricane evacuation order among socially linked households, and 3) the resulting spatio-temporal diffusion of household evacuation behavior. Data sources informing model implementation include U.S. Census block group data, business databases, and statistics from hurricane evacuation surveys. Simulated model results from the model were validated with empirical traffic records observed at a Florida Keys monitoring station during evacuation from Hurricane Georges in 1998. This model builds upon previous research using agent-based models to simulate hurricane evacuation by incorporating multiple data sources and validating results with empirical traffic patterns. Such an empirically-grounded model facilitates locally relevant exploration of evacuation behavior to support the development of more effective evacuation plans and preparedness for future hurricane events.


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资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130408
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.SUNY Buffalo, Dept Geog, 105 Wilkeson Quad,Ellicott Complex, Buffalo, NY 14261 USA
2.Univ Florida, Dept Geog, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA
3.Univ Florida, Inst Food & Agr Sci, Gainesville, FL 32611 USA

Recommended Citation:
Yang, Yan,Mao, Liang,Metcalf, Sara S.. Diffusion of hurricane evacuation behavior through a home-workplace social network: A spatially explicit agent-based simulation model[J]. COMPUTERS ENVIRONMENT AND URBAN SYSTEMS,2019-01-01,74:13-22
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