globalchange  > 气候变化事实与影响
DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z
WOS记录号: WOS:000460103000010
论文题名:
Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall
作者: Ciemer, Catrin1,2; Boers, Niklas1,3; Hirota, Marina4,5; Kurths, Juergen1,2,6; Mueller-Hansen, Finn1,2; Oliveira, Rafael S.5; Winkelmann, Ricarda1,7
通讯作者: Ciemer, Catrin ; Winkelmann, Ricarda
刊名: NATURE GEOSCIENCE
ISSN: 1752-0894
EISSN: 1752-0908
出版年: 2019
卷: 12, 期:3, 页码:174-+
语种: 英语
WOS关键词: ECOLOGICAL RESILIENCE ; DISTRIBUTION PATTERNS ; GLOBAL SAVANNAS ; STABLE STATES ; TREE COVER ; FOREST ; DROUGHT ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; SENSITIVITY
WOS学科分类: Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向: Geology
英文摘要:

With ongoing global warming, the amount and frequency of precipitation in the tropics is projected to change substantially. While it has been shown that tropical forests and savannahs are sustained within the same intermediate mean annual precipitation range, the mechanisms that lead to the resilience of these ecosystems are still not fully understood. In particular, the long-term impact of rainfall variability on resilience is as yet unclear. Here we present observational evidence that both tropical forest and savannah exposed to a higher rainfall variability-in particular on interannual scales-during their long-term past are overall more resilient against climatic disturbances. Based on precipitation and tree cover data in the Brazilian Amazon basin, we constructed potential landscapes that enable us to systematically measure the resilience of the different ecosystems. Additionally, we infer that shifts from forest to savannah due to decreasing precipitation in the future are more likely to occur in regions with a precursory lower rainfall variability. Long-term rainfall variability thus needs to be taken into account in resilience analyses and projections of vegetation response to climate change.


Citation statistics:
被引频次[WOS]:63   [查看WOS记录]     [查看WOS中相关记录]
资源类型: 期刊论文
标识符: http://119.78.100.158/handle/2HF3EXSE/130480
Appears in Collections:气候变化事实与影响

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作者单位: 1.Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res, Potsdam, Germany
2.Humboldt Univ, Dept Phys, Berlin, Germany
3.Imperial Coll London, Grantham Inst Climate Change & Environm, London, England
4.Univ Fed Santa Catarina, Dept Phys, Florianopolis, SC, Brazil
5.Univ Estadual Campinas, Inst Biol, Campinas, SP, Brazil
6.Saratov NG Chernyshevskii State Univ, Saratov, Russia
7.Univ Potsdam, Phys Inst, Potsdam, Germany

Recommended Citation:
Ciemer, Catrin,Boers, Niklas,Hirota, Marina,et al. Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall[J]. NATURE GEOSCIENCE,2019-01-01,12(3):174-+
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